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Nico Collins injury: status, history and who gets his targets if he is out

Houston Texans · Wide receiver · status this week: not on the week 7 injury report (week 7 report, captured Wed 21 Oct, 6:15am)

Checked Oct 21, 2026.

Over his 5 full seasons on record, Nico Collins played 66 of 85 regular-season games (78%), and 4 of 6 so far in 2026. Season by season.

The Houston Texans room absorbs +4.12 receptions, and Jared Wayne takes the largest single share at +0.66. The work stays overwhelmingly inside the wide receiver room.

Where the work goes

Change in projected receptions for every other player in the offense. The bars are small on purpose — a vacated role is shared out, and any tool showing one replacement absorbing a whole target load is telling you something the data does not support.

Receptions gained if Nico Collins sitsJared Wayne+0.7WR 43% snapsKayshon Boutte+0.6WR 61% snapsLewis Bond+0.4WR 16% snapsXavier Hutchinson+0.4WR 52% snapsJaylin Noel+0.4WR 48% snapsMarvin Harrison Jr.+0.4WR 19% snapsDalton Schultz+0.1TE 56% snapsFoster Moreau+0.1TE 45% snapsBrevin Jordan+0.1TE 11% snapsCade Stover+0.1TE 24% snapsMarlin Klein+0.1TE 9% snapsWoody Marks+0.1RB 58% snapsDavid Montgomery+0.1RB 46% snapsJawhar Jordan+0.1RB 22% snapschange in projected receptions

Every player in the room

PlayerCatches nowIf he sitsChange
Nico Collins WR · 71% snaps4.50—OUT
Dalton Schultz TE · 56% snaps4.504.65+0.15
Xavier Hutchinson WR · 52% snaps2.803.16+0.36
Woody Marks RB · 58% snaps2.602.73+0.13
Jaylin Noel WR · 48% snaps2.402.76+0.36
Marvin Harrison Jr. WR · 19% snaps2.302.66+0.36
Kayshon Boutte WR · 61% snaps2.202.79+0.59
Foster Moreau TE · 45% snaps1.701.85+0.15
David Montgomery RB · 46% snaps0.800.93+0.13
Jawhar Jordan RB · 22% snaps0.800.93+0.13
Brevin Jordan TE · 11% snaps0.700.85+0.15
Cade Stover TE · 24% snaps0.300.45+0.15
Dare Ogunbowale RB · 2% snaps0.200.33+0.13
Lewis Bond WR · 16% snaps0.200.59+0.39
Marlin Klein TE · 9% snaps0.200.35+0.15
British Brooks RB · 0% snaps0.100.23+0.13
Jared Wayne WR · 43% snaps0.100.76+0.66

Injury history

Over his 5 full seasons on record, Nico Collins played 66 of 85 regular-season games (78%), and 4 of 6 so far in 2026.

SeasonTeamPlayedMissedListed outQuestionableInjuries listed
2026HOU4 of 6220Hamstring
2025HOU15 of 17210Concussion
2024HOU12 of 17501Hamstring
2023HOU15 of 17212Calf
2022HOU10 of 17742Foot, Groin
2021HOU14 of 17302Foot, Hip

Regular season only. Games played counts games with at least one offensive snap; designations are from the official weekly injury report, which does not list players on injured reserve, so a long absence shows as missed games rather than as weeks listed out.

What the data says happens

Measured across every regular-season game from 2018 onward, each beneficiary compared against his own trailing four-game form and net of what the same players do in weeks the room’s number one actually plays.

When a team’s number-one wide receiver does not play, what each position group gains:

RoomReceptions gainednt
Receivers+0.5841,53711.16
Tight ends+0.1751,0803.33
Backs+0.1131,0112.00

The room total is predictable. Which player takes it is not. Every candidate predictor of who gains — pecking order, snap share, route depth, trailing targets — correlates at roughly r = 0.02. In any single week one player usually takes about 60% of what was vacated; it is simply not predictably the same one.

Nico Collins’s full stats and usageSnap share, target share, game log and this week’s projection

Cascade effects 2018–2026, paired within player, net of control · projections as-of-week with no lookahead · 2026 week 7