5′10″, 208 lb · age 25 · USC; Mississippi State · 2025 draft, round 4
Week 6 stats
Sun Oct 18, at JAX: Woody Marks ran 15 times for 56 yards, caught 2 for 25 on 78% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Woody Marks is averaging 9.7 carries for 34 rushing yards and 2.2 catches on 57% of snaps, against 12.7 carries for 46 rushing yards and 1.4 catches over 18 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 10.6 PPR points, RB29 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
10.6
RB29 this week
Rush attempts
10.6
Rushing yards
42
Receptions
2.6
1.2 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
17
Anytime TD
35%
He is used both near the goal line and on third down, roles that run slightly ahead of trailing form: +0.11 receptions.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 5 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Woody Marks snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
2.6 projected
26 wk6
JAX
78%
9.4%
3
2
25
15
56
0
2.6 -0.6
26 wk5
TEN
85%
12.1%
4
4
23
15
62
0
1.7 +2.3
26 wk4
DAL
44%
3.8%
1
0
0
6
22
1
1.9 -1.9
26 wk3
IND
37%
4.0%
1
1
6
5
15
1
2.0 -1.0
26 wk2
CIN
48%
12.0%
6
5
27
8
8
0
—
26 wk1
BUF
51%
2.7%
1
1
-2
9
42
0
—
25 wk20
NE
68%
6.7%
3
2
19
14
17
0
—
25 wk19
PIT
71%
3.1%
1
0
0
19
112
1
—
25 wk18
IND
46%
10.7%
3
2
0
10
48
0
—
25 wk17
LAC
68%
7.7%
2
1
4
19
71
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 20 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
4 of 20
20%
5+ receptions
1 of 20
5%
7+ receptions
0 of 20
0%
50+ receiving yards
1 of 20
5%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 20
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 20
0%
Scored a touchdown
5 of 20
25%
Woody Marks 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Woody Marks has 58 carries for 205 rushing yards (34.2 a game) and 13 catches for 79 receiving yards (2.2 catches and 13.2 yards a game), with 2 touchdowns, on 57% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2025–2025 (18 games)
Catches per game
2.2
1.4
Receiving yards per game
13.2
12.6
Target share
7.3%
6.6%
Woody Marks 2025 stats
In 2025 Woody Marks had 229 carries for 832 yards and 26 catches for 227 yards over 18 games, with 6 touchdowns, on 53% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
2 seasons of usage, 2025–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016