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Week 5 defenses

All 32 defenses ranked by projected fantasy points. The implied opponent total is the market's expectation of what this defense concedes, which is the single input that moves a D/ST projection most.

Defense	Opponent	Points the market expects them to concede	Projected fantasy points
Houston Texans D/ST	TEN	15.0	9.2
Jacksonville Jaguars D/ST	PHI	17.8	8.6
Cincinnati Bengals D/ST	MIA	18.0	8.5
Denver Broncos D/ST	LAC	19.0	7.9
Minnesota Vikings D/ST	NO	20.5	7.8
Dallas Cowboys D/ST	TB	19.5	7.7
Washington Commanders D/ST	NYG	19.5	7.6
New York Jets D/ST	CLE	19.0	7.6
Atlanta Falcons D/ST	BAL	20.0	7.3
New England Patriots D/ST	LV	21.0	7.3
Pittsburgh Steelers D/ST	IND	21.0	7.3
Seattle Seahawks D/ST	SF	21.5	7.1
Chicago Bears D/ST	GB	21.5	7.0
Cleveland Browns D/ST	NYJ	20.5	7.0
Los Angeles Chargers D/ST	DEN	22.5	6.3
New Orleans Saints D/ST	MIN	22.0	6.3
Detroit Lions D/ST	ARI	24.5	6.3
New York Giants D/ST	WAS	23.0	6.2
Baltimore Ravens D/ST	ATL	23.5	5.9
Indianapolis Colts D/ST	PIT	23.5	5.9
Las Vegas Raiders D/ST	NE	24.5	5.9
Green Bay Packers D/ST	CHI	24.0	5.8
Tennessee Titans D/ST	HOU	22.5	5.8
San Francisco 49ers D/ST	SEA	24.0	5.8
Los Angeles Rams D/ST	BUF	25.8	5.6
Miami Dolphins D/ST	CIN	24.5	5.2
Philadelphia Eagles D/ST	JAX	24.8	5.1
Buffalo Bills D/ST	LA	28.8	4.4
Tampa Bay Buccaneers D/ST	DAL	28.0	4.2
Arizona Cardinals D/ST	DET	30.0	3.7

Projections are as-of-week with no lookahead · implied totals come from the posted game line

On bye in week 5: Carolina Panthers D/ST, Kansas City Chiefs D/ST. Their pages carry the season so far.

What each defense has done so far

Actual D/ST results, 2026 (weeks 1-4), 4 games per team, ordered by fantasy points per game under the standard scoring ladder. These are raw totals, not adjusted for the offenses faced, so the order describes what happened rather than rating anyone; the projections above are the forecast.

Defense	Games	D/ST points per game	Points allowed per game	Sacks	Takeaways (INT + fumbles recovered)	Defensive and return TDs
Minnesota Vikings MIN	4	12.0	12.8	16	7	1
Jacksonville Jaguars JAX	4	9.8	13.2	10	8	0
Cincinnati Bengals CIN	4	9.5	21.2	14	6	1
Las Vegas Raiders LV	4	9.0	21.0	12	9	0
Pittsburgh Steelers PIT	4	8.8	21.8	10	7	1
Carolina Panthers CAR	4	8.2	27.2	8	8	1
Seattle Seahawks SEA	4	8.0	18.2	11	7	0
New England Patriots NE	4	7.8	19.2	8	5	1
New York Giants NYG	4	7.2	19.8	3	8	1
Chicago Bears CHI	4	7.0	16.2	10	5	0
Denver Broncos DEN	4	6.8	23.5	8	5	1
Kansas City Chiefs KC	4	6.2	19.2	4	7	0
Los Angeles Chargers LAC	4	6.2	26.5	10	8	0
Cleveland Browns CLE	4	5.2	23.8	12	4	0
New York Jets NYJ	4	5.2	21.0	9	4	0
Los Angeles Rams LA	4	5.0	20.8	7	3	0
San Francisco 49ers SF	4	5.0	16.0	6	3	0
Tampa Bay Buccaneers TB	4	5.0	24.0	6	4	1
Buffalo Bills BUF	4	4.5	26.8	10	5	0
Baltimore Ravens BAL	4	4.2	24.0	7	5	0
Detroit Lions DET	4	4.2	31.8	15	4	0
Houston Texans HOU	4	4.2	27.2	14	3	0
Washington Commanders WAS	4	4.2	30.5	7	5	1
Tennessee Titans TEN	4	4.0	20.8	8	2	0
Atlanta Falcons ATL	4	3.5	23.0	7	3	0
Indianapolis Colts IND	4	3.2	26.0	9	2	0
Arizona Cardinals ARI	4	3.0	29.2	8	6	0
Green Bay Packers GB	4	3.0	26.2	10	4	0
Philadelphia Eagles PHI	4	2.2	23.2	4	2	0
Miami Dolphins MIA	4	1.8	25.2	4	3	0
Dallas Cowboys DAL	4	1.5	28.0	4	2	0
New Orleans Saints NO	4	1.5	32.0	8	3	0

Regular season only, from play-by-play. D/ST fantasy points repeat weakly (0.34 full-season reliability) — read it as what happened, not a rating or a forecast. Points allowed repeat only moderately (0.45 full-season reliability) — read it as what happened, not a rating or a forecast. Sacks repeat only moderately (0.44 full-season reliability). Takeaways barely repeat (0.20 full-season reliability). Defensive touchdowns do not repeat at all (0.02 full-season reliability). Ask “which defenses have the most sacks” for any one column.