5′11″, 217 lb · age 25 · Iowa State · 2022 draft, round 2
Week 3 stats
Sun Sep 27, at DET: Breece Hall ran 13 times for 32 yards, caught 3 for 23 on 48% of snaps.
Stats through week 3; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 3 games this season Breece Hall is averaging 17.0 carries for 54 rushing yards and 3.3 catches on 57% of snaps, against 15.2 carries for 67 rushing yards and 2.2 catches over 16 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 11.0 PPR points, RB27 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
11.0
RB27 this week
Rush attempts
15.1
Rushing yards
46
Receptions
2.4
0.2 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
20
Anytime TD
30%
Returning from a missed week. Players in their first game back come in about a third of a reception below recent form, so this projection is held down rather than reading his last line straight across.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 5 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Breece Hall snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
2.4 projected
26 wk3
DET
48%
8.3%
3
3
23
13
32
0
2.8 +0.2
26 wk2
GB
65%
13.9%
5
5
63
16
29
0
—
26 wk1
TEN
58%
8.7%
2
2
16
22
102
1
—
25 wk17
NE
48%
9.4%
3
2
18
14
111
1
—
25 wk16
NO
64%
8.8%
3
2
9
16
54
0
—
25 wk15
JAX
54%
6.2%
2
2
14
12
23
0
—
25 wk14
MIA
76%
3.1%
1
0
0
14
43
0
—
25 wk13
ATL
88%
6.5%
2
2
8
19
68
1
—
25 wk12
BAL
71%
14.8%
4
4
75
16
44
0
—
25 wk11
NE
72%
7.7%
2
2
6
14
58
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 18 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
5 of 18
28%
5+ receptions
2 of 18
11%
7+ receptions
0 of 18
0%
50+ receiving yards
2 of 18
11%
75+ receiving yards
1 of 18
6%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 18
0%
Scored a touchdown
5 of 18
28%
Breece Hall 2026 stats
Through 3 games of 2026, Breece Hall has 51 carries for 163 rushing yards (54.3 a game) and 10 catches for 102 receiving yards (3.3 catches and 34.0 yards a game), with 1 touchdown, on 57% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (3 games)
2022–2025 (56 games)
Catches per game
3.3
3.4
Receiving yards per game
34.0
29.3
Target share
10.3%
13.4%
Breece Hall 2025 stats
In 2025 Breece Hall had 243 carries for 1,065 yards and 36 catches for 350 yards over 16 games, with 5 touchdowns, on 64% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
5 seasons of usage, 2022–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016