Sun Oct 18, at NE: Braelon Allen ran 17 times for 78 yards, caught 2 for 26 on 87% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Braelon Allen has no full prior season to anchor to, so this week’s projection leans on his 5 games of current-season usage alone — treat it as a thinner read than a veteran’s.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
11.6
RB22 this week
Rush attempts
14.0
Rushing yards
63
Receptions
1.8
1.3 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
18
Anytime TD
29%
He is used near the goal line, a role that runs slightly ahead of trailing form: +0.09 receptions.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 4 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Braelon Allen snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
1.8 projected
26 wk6
NE
87%
6.9%
2
2
26
17
78
0
1.7 +0.3
26 wk5
CLE
86%
13.8%
4
1
0
24
116
1
1.9 -0.9
26 wk4
CHI
94%
13.3%
2
2
8
14
59
0
1.9 +0.1
26 wk3
DET
52%
8.3%
3
3
3
4
14
0
0.8 +2.2
26 wk2
GB
31%
2.8%
1
1
8
5
7
1
—
26 wk1
TEN
40%
4.3%
1
0
0
10
40
0
—
25 wk4
MIA
10%
0.0%
0
0
0
4
26
0
—
25 wk3
TB
33%
5.7%
2
2
17
6
30
0
—
25 wk2
BUF
19%
4.8%
1
0
0
2
11
0
—
25 wk1
PIT
31%
0.0%
0
0
0
6
9
1
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 6 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
0 of 6
0%
5+ receptions
0 of 6
0%
7+ receptions
0 of 6
0%
50+ receiving yards
0 of 6
0%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 6
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 6
0%
Scored a touchdown
2 of 6
33%
Braelon Allen 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Braelon Allen has 74 carries for 314 rushing yards (52.3 a game) and 9 catches for 45 receiving yards (1.5 catches and 7.5 yards a game), with 2 touchdowns, on 65% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2024–2025 (21 games)
Catches per game
1.5
1.0
Receiving yards per game
7.5
7.9
Target share
8.2%
4.1%
Braelon Allen 2025 stats
In 2025 Braelon Allen had 18 carries for 76 yards and 2 catches for 17 yards over 4 games, with 1 touchdown, on 23% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
3 seasons of usage, 2024–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016