6′2″, 225 lb · age 22 · Oklahoma State · 2025 draft, round 6
Week 5 stats
Sun Oct 11, vs CIN: Ollie Gordon II ran 18 times for 88 yards, 1 touchdown on 65% of snaps.
Stats through week 5; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 5 games this season Ollie Gordon II is averaging 9.4 carries for 47 rushing yards and 1.0 catches on 46% of snaps, against 4.1 carries for 12 rushing yards and 0.4 catches over 17 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 11.9 PPR points, RB20 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
11.9
RB20 this week
Rush attempts
15.3
Rushing yards
68
Receptions
1.6
1.2 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
12
Anytime TD
44%
His snap share has grown from last season. The projection is lifted to reflect the larger role.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 4 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Ollie Gordon II snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
1.6 projected
26 wk5
CIN
65%
0.0%
0
0
0
18
88
1
1.5 -1.5
26 wk4
MIN
56%
11.8%
2
2
0
9
100
1
1.0 +1.0
26 wk3
KC
84%
8.6%
3
3
14
17
41
1
0.1 +3.0
26 wk2
SF
19%
0.0%
0
0
0
3
7
0
—
26 wk1
LV
7%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk18
NE
36%
4.2%
1
1
2
9
9
0
—
25 wk17
TB
15%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk16
CIN
5%
0.0%
0
0
0
1
-1
0
—
25 wk15
PIT
12%
0.0%
0
0
0
2
0
0
—
25 wk14
NYJ
25%
0.0%
0
0
0
5
17
1
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 19 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
0 of 19
0%
5+ receptions
0 of 19
0%
7+ receptions
0 of 19
0%
50+ receiving yards
0 of 19
0%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 19
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 19
0%
Scored a touchdown
4 of 19
21%
Ollie Gordon II 2026 stats
Through 5 games of 2026, Ollie Gordon II has 47 carries for 236 rushing yards (47.2 a game) and 5 catches for 14 receiving yards (1.0 catches and 2.8 yards a game), with 3 touchdowns, on 46% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (5 games)
2025–2025 (17 games)
Catches per game
1.0
0.4
Receiving yards per game
2.8
1.9
Target share
4.1%
1.8%
Ollie Gordon II 2025 stats
In 2025 Ollie Gordon II had 70 carries for 199 yards and 7 catches for 32 yards over 17 games, with 4 touchdowns, on 22% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
2 seasons of usage, 2025–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016