5′8″, 205 lb · age 25 · UCF; Virginia · 2025 draft, round 2
Week 6 stats
Thu Oct 15, vs SEA: RJ Harvey ran 6 times for 25 yards, caught 3 for 31, 1 touchdown on 40% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 5 games this season RJ Harvey is averaging 4.2 carries for 16 rushing yards and 4.6 catches on 42% of snaps, against 8.7 carries for 31 rushing yards and 2.9 catches over 19 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 12.5 PPR points, RB17 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
12.5
RB17 this week
Rush attempts
7.1
Rushing yards
27
Receptions
4.0
1.0 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
33
Anytime TD
32%
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 1 and 7 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
RJ Harvey snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
4.0 projected
26 wk6
SEA
40%
16.7%
4
3
31
6
25
1
3.9 -0.9
26 wk5
LAC
37%
4.5%
1
0
0
3
7
0
4.3 -4.3
26 wk4
SF
44%
26.3%
10
10
68
7
25
0
3.2 +6.8
26 wk3
LA
36%
22.6%
7
6
41
2
6
0
3.0 +3.0
26 wk1
KC
51%
14.8%
4
4
23
3
18
0
—
25 wk21
NE
53%
22.2%
6
4
22
13
37
0
—
25 wk20
BUF
62%
14.3%
6
5
46
6
20
0
—
25 wk18
LAC
56%
17.4%
4
1
5
15
28
0
—
25 wk17
KC
65%
16.2%
6
5
33
14
43
1
—
25 wk16
JAX
59%
10.9%
5
4
71
7
50
1
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 20 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
13 of 20
65%
5+ receptions
4 of 20
20%
7+ receptions
0 of 20
0%
50+ receiving yards
2 of 20
10%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 20
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 20
0%
Scored a touchdown
9 of 20
45%
RJ Harvey 2026 stats
Through 5 games of 2026, RJ Harvey has 21 carries for 81 rushing yards (16.2 a game) and 23 catches for 163 receiving yards (4.6 catches and 32.6 yards a game), with 1 touchdown, on 42% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (5 games)
2025–2025 (19 games)
Catches per game
4.6
2.9
Receiving yards per game
32.6
22.3
Target share
17.0%
11.1%
RJ Harvey 2025 stats
In 2025 RJ Harvey had 165 carries for 597 yards and 56 catches for 424 yards over 19 games, with 12 touchdowns, on 44% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
2 seasons of usage, 2025–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016