5′10″, 220 lb · age 26 · North Carolina · 2021 draft, round 2
Week 6 stats
Sun Oct 18, at GB: Javonte Williams ran 11 times for 41 yards, caught 2 for 9, 1 touchdown on 73% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Javonte Williams is averaging 14.2 carries for 53 rushing yards and 3.2 catches on 76% of snaps, against 15.8 carries for 75 rushing yards and 2.2 catches over 16 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 13.1 PPR points, RB15 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
13.1
RB15 this week
Rush attempts
14.8
Rushing yards
61
Receptions
2.5
0.3 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
18
Anytime TD
54%
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 5 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Javonte Williams snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
2.5 projected
26 wk6
GB
73%
3.7%
2
2
9
11
41
1
3.2 -1.2
26 wk5
TB
85%
7.1%
3
2
17
12
45
1
2.9 -0.9
26 wk4
HOU
74%
11.6%
5
5
21
19
62
3
2.9 +2.1
26 wk3
BAL
76%
7.5%
3
2
5
19
98
1
2.8 -0.8
26 wk2
WAS
80%
12.9%
4
3
20
12
30
0
—
26 wk1
NYG
71%
16.7%
5
5
31
12
41
2
—
25 wk17
WAS
27%
5.6%
2
0
0
13
54
1
—
25 wk16
LAC
57%
9.4%
3
2
9
9
34
0
—
25 wk15
MIN
29%
0.0%
0
0
0
15
91
1
—
25 wk14
DET
79%
8.5%
4
2
0
17
67
1
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 18 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
7 of 18
39%
5+ receptions
4 of 18
22%
7+ receptions
0 of 18
0%
50+ receiving yards
0 of 18
0%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 18
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 18
0%
Scored a touchdown
11 of 18
61%
Javonte Williams 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Javonte Williams has 85 carries for 317 rushing yards (52.8 a game) and 19 catches for 103 receiving yards (3.2 catches and 17.2 yards a game), with 8 touchdowns, on 76% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2021–2025 (71 games)
Catches per game
3.2
2.7
Receiving yards per game
17.2
15.7
Target share
9.9%
11.5%
Javonte Williams 2025 stats
In 2025 Javonte Williams had 252 carries for 1,201 yards and 35 catches for 137 yards over 16 games, with 13 touchdowns, on 69% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
6 seasons of usage, 2021–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016