5′8″, 208 lb · age 22 · Boise State · 2025 draft, round 1
Week 6 stats
Sun Oct 18, vs BUF: Ashton Jeanty ran 10 times for 22 yards, caught 4 for 36, 1 touchdown on 58% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Ashton Jeanty is averaging 16.3 carries for 52 rushing yards and 4.3 catches on 70% of snaps, against 15.6 carries for 57 rushing yards and 3.2 catches over 17 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 14.2 PPR points, RB12 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
14.2
RB12 this week
Rush attempts
15.4
Rushing yards
50
Receptions
3.6
0.4 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
31
Anytime TD
45%
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 1 and 7 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Ashton Jeanty snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
3.6 projected
26 wk6
BUF
58%
15.4%
6
4
36
10
22
1
3.9 +0.1
26 wk5
NE
53%
16.7%
6
3
50
10
27
0
3.4 -0.4
26 wk4
KC
67%
16.7%
8
6
68
15
58
0
4.0 +2.0
26 wk3
NO
84%
10.0%
3
3
37
19
56
0
3.4 -0.4
26 wk2
LAC
81%
24.1%
7
4
15
21
48
0
—
26 wk1
MIA
74%
20.7%
6
6
45
23
102
2
—
25 wk18
KC
97%
19.2%
5
3
7
26
87
0
—
25 wk17
NYG
81%
7.1%
2
2
13
16
60
0
—
25 wk16
HOU
93%
9.1%
2
1
60
24
128
2
—
25 wk15
PHI
71%
24.0%
6
4
7
9
35
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 19 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
11 of 19
58%
5+ receptions
6 of 19
32%
7+ receptions
1 of 19
5%
50+ receiving yards
2 of 19
11%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 19
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 19
0%
Scored a touchdown
8 of 19
42%
Ashton Jeanty 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Ashton Jeanty has 98 carries for 313 rushing yards (52.2 a game) and 26 catches for 251 receiving yards (4.3 catches and 41.8 yards a game), with 3 touchdowns, on 70% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2025–2025 (17 games)
Catches per game
4.3
3.2
Receiving yards per game
41.8
20.4
Target share
17.3%
14.8%
Ashton Jeanty 2025 stats
In 2025 Ashton Jeanty had 266 carries for 975 yards and 55 catches for 346 yards over 17 games, with 10 touchdowns, on 78% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
2 seasons of usage, 2025–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016