Sun Oct 18, at ATL: D'Andre Swift ran 16 times for 44 yards, caught 4 for 26, 2 touchdowns on 58% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season D'Andre Swift is averaging 15.7 carries for 66 rushing yards and 3.0 catches on 57% of snaps, against 14.2 carries for 68 rushing yards and 2.0 catches over 18 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 14.4 PPR points, RB11 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
14.4
RB11 this week
Rush attempts
14.5
Rushing yards
63
Receptions
3.1
1.1 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
25
Anytime TD
45%
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 1 and 6 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
D'Andre Swift snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
3.1 projected
26 wk6
ATL
58%
15.2%
5
4
26
16
44
2
2.5 +1.5
26 wk5
GB
58%
12.5%
5
4
30
9
43
1
2.2 +1.8
26 wk4
NYJ
35%
6.5%
2
2
16
15
58
0
2.3 -0.3
26 wk3
PHI
69%
8.8%
3
2
4
20
84
0
2.5 -0.5
26 wk2
MIN
68%
16.7%
5
5
54
16
45
0
—
26 wk1
CAR
57%
3.8%
1
1
10
18
124
3
—
25 wk20
LA
62%
0.0%
0
0
0
19
76
0
—
25 wk19
GB
50%
4.3%
2
2
38
13
54
1
—
25 wk18
DET
58%
6.9%
2
1
8
10
40
0
—
25 wk17
SF
59%
7.7%
3
2
25
9
54
2
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 20 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
7 of 20
35%
5+ receptions
2 of 20
10%
7+ receptions
0 of 20
0%
50+ receiving yards
2 of 20
10%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 20
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 20
0%
Scored a touchdown
10 of 20
50%
D'Andre Swift 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, D'Andre Swift has 94 carries for 398 rushing yards (66.3 a game) and 18 catches for 140 receiving yards (3.0 catches and 23.3 yards a game), with 6 touchdowns, on 58% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2020–2025 (92 games)
Catches per game
3.0
3.0
Receiving yards per game
23.3
23.6
Target share
10.6%
12.0%
D'Andre Swift 2025 stats
In 2025 D'Andre Swift had 255 carries for 1,217 yards and 36 catches for 337 yards over 18 games, with 11 touchdowns, on 58% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
7 seasons of usage, 2020–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016