Sun Oct 18, at ATL: Roschon Johnson ran 13 times for 51 yards, caught 2 for 34, 1 touchdown on 40% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 5 games this season Roschon Johnson is averaging 1.6 receptions and 15 receiving yards on 23% of snaps, against 0.0 receptions and 0 receiving yards over 6 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 7.5 PPR points, RB38 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
7.5
RB38 this week
Rush attempts
6.8
Rushing yards
35
Receptions
1.2
Receiving yards
13
Anytime TD
27%
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 3 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Roschon Johnson snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
1.2 projected
26 wk6
ATL
40%
6.1%
2
2
34
13
51
1
0.9 +1.1
26 wk5
GB
39%
17.5%
7
5
34
5
6
0
0.3 +4.7
26 wk4
NYJ
11%
3.2%
1
1
7
4
16
0
0.1 +0.9
26 wk2
MIN
1%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
26 wk1
CAR
—
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk11
MIN
—
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk7
NO
1%
0.0%
0
0
0
1
11
0
—
25 wk6
WAS
5%
0.0%
0
0
0
1
6
0
—
25 wk4
LV
—
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk3
DAL
—
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 8 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
0 of 8
0%
5+ receptions
0 of 8
0%
7+ receptions
0 of 8
0%
50+ receiving yards
0 of 8
0%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 8
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 8
0%
Scored a touchdown
0 of 8
0%
Roschon Johnson 2026 stats
Through 5 games of 2026, Roschon Johnson has 22 carries for 73 rushing yards (14.6 a game) and 8 catches for 75 receiving yards (1.6 catches and 15.0 yards a game), with 1 touchdown, on 23% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (5 games)
2023–2025 (34 games)
Catches per game
1.6
1.5
Receiving yards per game
15.0
9.2
Target share
5.4%
5.7%
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
4 seasons of usage, 2023–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016