Sun Oct 18, at LA: Tyler Allgeier ran 18 times for 38 yards, caught 1 for 10 on 56% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Tyler Allgeier is averaging 8.8 carries for 26 rushing yards and 2.2 catches on 52% of snaps, against 8.4 carries for 30 rushing yards and 0.8 catches over 17 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 7.9 PPR points, RB36 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
7.9
RB36 this week
Rush attempts
8.0
Rushing yards
32
Receptions
1.8
1.0 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
13
Anytime TD
19%
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 4 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Tyler Allgeier snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
1.8 projected
26 wk6
LA
56%
5.9%
2
1
10
18
38
0
2.5 -1.5
26 wk5
DET
44%
4.3%
2
2
9
3
7
0
1.7 +0.3
26 wk4
NYG
55%
5.7%
2
2
7
8
42
1
1.9 +0.1
26 wk3
SF
36%
8.0%
4
4
10
2
-1
0
1.9 +2.1
26 wk2
SEA
64%
7.7%
2
2
9
5
10
0
—
26 wk1
LAC
59%
5.4%
2
2
9
17
61
0
—
25 wk18
NO
37%
6.7%
2
1
3
7
16
0
—
25 wk17
LA
36%
0.0%
0
0
0
10
23
0
—
25 wk16
ARI
40%
2.9%
1
1
-6
16
79
0
—
25 wk15
TB
17%
0.0%
0
0
0
2
18
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 19 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
0 of 19
0%
5+ receptions
0 of 19
0%
7+ receptions
0 of 19
0%
50+ receiving yards
0 of 19
0%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 19
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 19
0%
Scored a touchdown
7 of 19
37%
Tyler Allgeier 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Tyler Allgeier has 53 carries for 157 rushing yards (26.2 a game) and 13 catches for 54 receiving yards (2.2 catches and 9.0 yards a game), with 1 touchdown, on 52% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2022–2025 (67 games)
Catches per game
2.2
0.9
Receiving yards per game
9.0
7.7
Target share
6.2%
3.6%
Tyler Allgeier 2025 stats
In 2025 Tyler Allgeier had 143 carries for 514 yards and 14 catches for 96 yards over 17 games, with 8 touchdowns, on 30% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
5 seasons of usage, 2022–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016