6′0″, 232 lb · age 29 · Penn State · 2018 draft, round 1
Week 4 stats
Sun Oct 4, vs LA: Saquon Barkley ran 2 times for 8 yards, caught 1 for 2 on 7% of snaps.
Stats through week 4; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 4 games this season Saquon Barkley is averaging 9.0 carries for 46 rushing yards and 1.0 catches on 42% of snaps, against 18.0 carries for 73 rushing yards and 2.4 catches over 17 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 8.8 PPR points, RB34 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
8.8
RB34 this week
Rush attempts
11.9
Rushing yards
46
Receptions
1.7
0.6 below his 2025 average
Receiving yards
15
Anytime TD
20%
Returning from a missed week. Players in their first game back come in about a third of a reception below recent form, so this projection is held down rather than reading his last line straight across.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 4 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Saquon Barkley snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
1.7 projected
26 wk4
LA
7%
4.0%
1
1
2
2
8
0
1.9 -0.9
26 wk3
CHI
72%
8.0%
2
1
-2
15
82
0
1.4 -0.4
26 wk2
TEN
16%
5.9%
2
1
11
4
9
0
—
26 wk1
WAS
71%
9.1%
2
1
-3
15
83
0
—
25 wk19
SF
85%
17.6%
6
3
25
26
106
0
—
25 wk17
BUF
80%
0.0%
0
0
0
19
68
0
—
25 wk16
WAS
77%
6.9%
2
0
0
21
132
1
—
25 wk15
LV
57%
16.7%
3
2
14
22
78
1
—
25 wk14
LAC
82%
5.3%
2
0
0
20
122
1
—
25 wk13
CHI
93%
6.7%
2
0
0
13
56
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 19 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
8 of 19
42%
5+ receptions
1 of 19
5%
7+ receptions
1 of 19
5%
50+ receiving yards
2 of 19
11%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 19
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 19
0%
Scored a touchdown
8 of 19
42%
Saquon Barkley 2026 stats
Through 4 games of 2026, Saquon Barkley has 36 carries for 182 rushing yards (45.5 a game) and 4 catches for 8 receiving yards (1.0 catches and 2.0 yards a game), on 42% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (4 games)
2018–2025 (113 games)
Catches per game
1.0
3.4
Receiving yards per game
2.0
25.0
Target share
6.7%
15.2%
Saquon Barkley 2025 stats
In 2025 Saquon Barkley had 306 carries for 1,246 yards and 40 catches for 298 yards over 17 games, with 9 touchdowns, on 79% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
9 seasons of usage, 2018–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016