5′9″, 220 lb · age 25 · USC; South Carolina · 2024 draft, round 3
Week 6 stats
Sun Oct 18, vs DAL: MarShawn Lloyd ran 8 times for 10 yards on 40% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
MarShawn Lloyd has no full prior season to anchor to, so this week’s projection leans on his 5 games of current-season usage alone — treat it as a thinner read than a veteran’s.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
8.9
RB33 this week
Rush attempts
7.4
Rushing yards
29
Receptions
1.9
Receiving yards
16
Anytime TD
34%
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 4 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
MarShawn Lloyd snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
1.9 projected
26 wk6
DAL
40%
2.5%
1
0
0
8
10
0
2.0 -2.0
26 wk5
CHI
44%
6.5%
2
1
6
10
31
2
1.9 -0.9
26 wk4
TB
55%
16.7%
5
5
36
7
13
0
1.2 +3.8
26 wk3
ATL
23%
5.9%
3
2
7
4
11
0
1.0 +1.0
26 wk2
NYJ
27%
6.9%
2
2
6
6
20
1
—
26 wk1
MIN
44%
2.5%
1
0
0
13
37
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
MarShawn Lloyd 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, MarShawn Lloyd has 48 carries for 122 rushing yards (20.3 a game) and 10 catches for 55 receiving yards (1.7 catches and 9.2 yards a game), with 3 touchdowns, on 39% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2024–2024 (1 games)
Catches per game
1.7
1.0
Receiving yards per game
9.2
3.0
Target share
6.8%
7.7%
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
2 seasons of usage, 2024–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016