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Kendre Miller

New Orleans Saints · Running backRB2

6′0″, 220 lb · age 24 · TCU · 2023 draft, round 3

Week 6 stats

Sun Oct 18, at NYG: Kendre Miller ran 20 times for 70 yards, caught 2 for 0 on 44% of snaps.

Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.

Through 5 games this season Kendre Miller is averaging 9.8 carries for 31 rushing yards and 1.2 catches on 30% of snaps, against 6.7 carries for 28 rushing yards and 0.7 catches over 7 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 10.2 PPR points, RB30 this week.

Week 7 projection

PPR points
10.2
RB30 this week
Rush attempts
11.7
Rushing yards
49
Receptions
1.6
0.9 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
12
Anytime TD
31%
His snap share has grown from last season. The projection is lifted to reflect the larger role.

What a realistic week looks like

27%030%121%212%36%45678910111213Receptions
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 4 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.

Kendre Miller snap share, game by game

Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.

Game log

GameOppSnap shareTarget shareTgtRecRec ydsCarRush ydsTDWe said
26 wk7—————————1.6 projected
26 wk6NYG44%6.7%220207001.1 +0.9
26 wk5MIN31%0.0%000103011.0 -1.0
26 wk4ATL26%6.4%32106900.8 +1.2
26 wk3LV19%7.5%32541400.5 +1.5
26 wk1DET29%0.0%0009301—
25 wk7CHI4%0.0%000170—
25 wk6NE39%3.8%11118210—
25 wk5NYG39%3.2%11810410—
25 wk4BUF31%0.0%00011651—
25 wk3SEA27%4.9%2297270—

“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.

How often he has actually done it

Rates over his last 8 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.

OutcomeGames it happenedHow often
3+ receptions0 of 80%
5+ receptions0 of 80%
7+ receptions0 of 80%
50+ receiving yards0 of 80%
75+ receiving yards0 of 80%
100+ receiving yards0 of 80%
Scored a touchdown2 of 825%

Kendre Miller 2026 stats

Through 5 games of 2026, Kendre Miller has 49 carries for 153 rushing yards (30.6 a game) and 6 catches for 15 receiving yards (1.2 catches and 3.0 yards a game), with 2 touchdowns, on 30% of snaps.

Against the rest of his career

2026 so far (5 games)2023–2025 (21 games)
Catches per game1.21.0
Receiving yards per game3.08.6
Target share4.1%3.6%

Kendre Miller 2025 stats

In 2025 Kendre Miller had 47 carries for 193 yards and 5 catches for 30 yards over 7 games, with 1 touchdown, on 24% of snaps.

Season by season

Kendre Miller: snap share and target share by season0204060801002023202420252026Snap shareTarget shareSeasonshare of the team
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Kendre Miller: carries and targets per game by season0.02.55.07.510.02023202420252026CarriesTargetsSeason
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Kendre Miller: yards per game by season0102030402023202420252026RushingReceivingSeason
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
Kendre Miller: touchdowns per game by season00.20.40.1220230.1720240.1420250.402026
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.

4 seasons of usage, 2023–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016

If Kendre Miller sits, who gets his work?The measured redistribution across the NO room — with sample size and t-statisticThe whole New Orleans Saints roomEvery pass-catcher ranked by the usage that predicts production

Related players

The rest of the New Orleans Saints running back room, by target share.

Ranked next to him at RB for week 7.

What we have measured about running backs

Does a new head coach change who gets the ball?It changes WHO, not how muchDo touchdowns repeat from year to year?Much less than receptions

Projections are as-of-week with no lookahead · usage from official play-by-play and snap counts · 2026 week 7