Sun Oct 18, at LA: Bam Knight ran 15 times for 80 yards, caught 2 for 18 on 44% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 4 games this season Bam Knight is averaging 4.5 carries for 28 rushing yards and 0.5 catches on 16% of snaps, against 6.8 carries for 22 rushing yards and 1.8 catches over 12 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 6.7 PPR points, RB41 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
6.7
RB41 this week
Rush attempts
8.6
Rushing yards
41
Receptions
1.0
0.8 below his 2025 average
Receiving yards
5
Anytime TD
13%
His snap share has fallen from last season. The projection is pulled down to reflect the smaller role rather than last year’s.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 3 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Bam Knight snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
1.0 projected
26 wk6
LA
44%
5.9%
2
2
18
15
80
0
1.2 +0.8
26 wk5
DET
8%
0.0%
0
0
0
1
8
0
1.0 -1.0
26 wk2
SEA
6%
0.0%
0
0
0
2
24
0
—
26 wk1
LAC
4%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk15
HOU
2%
0.0%
0
0
0
1
-2
0
—
25 wk14
LA
47%
13.6%
6
3
18
7
16
0
—
25 wk13
TB
48%
8.1%
3
3
36
11
62
1
—
25 wk12
JAX
44%
10.9%
5
4
20
10
12
1
—
25 wk11
SF
41%
7.1%
4
4
21
5
24
1
—
25 wk10
SEA
46%
9.1%
4
1
5
10
28
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 14 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
5 of 14
36%
5+ receptions
0 of 14
0%
7+ receptions
0 of 14
0%
50+ receiving yards
0 of 14
0%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 14
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 14
0%
Scored a touchdown
5 of 14
36%
Bam Knight 2026 stats
Through 4 games of 2026, Bam Knight has 18 carries for 112 rushing yards (28.0 a game) and 2 catches for 18 receiving yards (0.5 catches and 4.5 yards a game), on 16% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (4 games)
2022–2025 (21 games)
Catches per game
0.5
1.7
Receiving yards per game
4.5
12.8
Target share
1.5%
5.4%
Bam Knight 2025 stats
In 2025 Bam Knight had 82 carries for 269 yards and 22 catches for 160 yards over 12 games, with 5 touchdowns, on 40% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
4 seasons of usage, 2022–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016