Sun Oct 18, vs PIT: Kenny Gainwell ran 2 times for 17 yards, caught 1 for 7 on 15% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Kenny Gainwell is averaging 3.2 carries for 10 rushing yards and 2.0 catches on 37% of snaps, against 6.7 carries for 31 rushing yards and 4.3 catches over 18 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 6.1 PPR points, RB44 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
6.1
RB44 this week
Rush attempts
2.8
Rushing yards
17
Receptions
1.9
2.4 below his 2025 average
Receiving yards
15
Anytime TD
18%
He is used both near the goal line and on third down, roles that run slightly ahead of trailing form: +0.18 receptions.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 4 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Kenny Gainwell snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
1.9 projected
26 wk6
PIT
15%
2.4%
1
1
7
2
17
0
2.1 -1.1
26 wk5
DAL
36%
16.0%
4
3
10
4
18
0
2.7 +0.3
26 wk4
GB
43%
7.7%
2
2
22
3
5
1
2.6 -0.6
26 wk3
MIN
46%
14.3%
5
2
14
3
-4
0
2.8 -0.8
26 wk2
CLE
35%
12.1%
4
3
5
2
10
0
—
26 wk1
CIN
46%
3.7%
1
1
3
5
15
0
—
25 wk19
HOU
56%
19.4%
6
4
26
6
20
0
—
25 wk18
BAL
67%
20.5%
9
8
64
5
10
1
—
25 wk17
CLE
68%
10.8%
4
3
12
7
26
0
—
25 wk16
DET
54%
18.4%
7
5
78
9
50
1
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 20 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
14 of 20
70%
5+ receptions
8 of 20
40%
7+ receptions
3 of 20
15%
50+ receiving yards
3 of 20
15%
75+ receiving yards
2 of 20
10%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 20
0%
Scored a touchdown
6 of 20
30%
Kenny Gainwell 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Kenny Gainwell has 19 carries for 61 rushing yards (10.2 a game) and 12 catches for 61 receiving yards (2.0 catches and 10.2 yards a game), with 1 touchdown, on 37% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2021–2025 (93 games)
Catches per game
2.0
2.1
Receiving yards per game
10.2
14.8
Target share
9.4%
8.8%
Kenny Gainwell 2025 stats
In 2025 Kenny Gainwell had 120 carries for 557 yards and 77 catches for 512 yards over 18 games, with 8 touchdowns, on 50% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
6 seasons of usage, 2021–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016