Sun Oct 11, at MIA: Samaje Perine ran 14 times for 68 yards, caught 2 for 10, 1 touchdown.
Stats through week 5; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 5 games this season Samaje Perine is averaging 5.4 carries for 22 rushing yards and 1.4 catches, against 5.6 carries for 25 rushing yards and 1.1 catches over 15 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 5.6 PPR points, RB46 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
5.6
RB46 this week
Rush attempts
7.0
Rushing yards
32
Receptions
1.1
0.0 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
5
Anytime TD
19%
He is the third-down option, a role that runs slightly ahead of trailing form: +0.12 receptions.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 3 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Samaje Perine snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
1.1 projected
26 wk5
MIA
—
6.5%
2
2
10
14
68
1
1.4 +0.6
26 wk4
JAX
—
1.9%
1
0
0
3
7
0
1.4 -1.4
26 wk3
PIT
—
8.1%
3
1
5
3
9
0
1.5 -0.5
26 wk2
HOU
—
3.2%
1
1
16
2
6
0
—
26 wk1
TB
—
8.8%
3
3
30
5
20
0
—
25 wk18
CLE
—
10.5%
4
3
10
8
42
0
—
25 wk17
ARI
—
3.0%
1
1
8
3
5
1
—
25 wk16
MIA
—
9.7%
3
2
16
7
25
1
—
25 wk15
BAL
—
2.8%
1
1
1
14
42
0
—
25 wk14
BUF
—
2.8%
1
1
7
6
31
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 17 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
2 of 17
12%
5+ receptions
0 of 17
0%
7+ receptions
0 of 17
0%
50+ receiving yards
0 of 17
0%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 17
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 17
0%
Scored a touchdown
3 of 17
18%
Samaje Perine 2026 stats
Through 5 games of 2026, Samaje Perine has 27 carries for 110 rushing yards (22.0 a game) and 7 catches for 61 receiving yards (1.4 catches and 12.2 yards a game), with 1 touchdown.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (5 games)
2017–2025 (124 games)
Catches per game
1.4
1.7
Receiving yards per game
12.2
13.7
Target share
5.7%
6.3%
Samaje Perine 2025 stats
In 2025 Samaje Perine had 84 carries for 382 yards and 17 catches for 87 yards over 15 games, with 3 touchdowns, on 0% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
10 seasons of usage, 2017–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016