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TreVeyon Henderson

New England Patriots · Running backRB2

5′10″, 202 lb · age 23 · Ohio State · 2025 draft, round 2

Week 6 stats

Sun Oct 18, vs NYJ: TreVeyon Henderson ran 7 times for 31 yards, caught 1 for 9 on 24% of snaps.

Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.

Through 5 games this season TreVeyon Henderson is averaging 9.8 carries for 39 rushing yards and 0.6 catches on 35% of snaps, against 10.0 carries for 47 rushing yards and 1.9 catches over 21 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 6.0 PPR points, RB45 this week.

Week 7 projection

PPR points
6.0
RB45 this week
Rush attempts
8.5
Rushing yards
36
Receptions
0.9
1.0 below his 2025 average
Receiving yards
8
Anytime TD
15%

What a realistic week looks like

49%029%113%25%345678910111213Receptions
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 2 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.

TreVeyon Henderson snap share, game by game

Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.

Game log

GameOppSnap shareTarget shareTgtRecRec ydsCarRush ydsTDWe said
26 wk7—————————0.9 projected
26 wk6NYJ24%3.3%11973100.9 +0.1
26 wk5LV16%3.2%111642201.4 -0.4
26 wk4BUF37%5.6%200144201.3 -1.3
26 wk3JAX37%3.3%11682301.7 -0.7
26 wk2PIT60%0.0%00016761—
25 wk22SEA39%7.3%33266190—
25 wk21DEN6%0.0%000350—
25 wk20HOU38%7.7%21-212250—
25 wk19LAC41%3.7%1199270—
25 wk18MIA41%0.0%00013532—

“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.

How often he has actually done it

Rates over his last 22 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.

OutcomeGames it happenedHow often
3+ receptions7 of 2232%
5+ receptions2 of 229%
7+ receptions0 of 220%
50+ receiving yards0 of 220%
75+ receiving yards0 of 220%
100+ receiving yards0 of 220%
Scored a touchdown6 of 2227%

TreVeyon Henderson 2026 stats

Through 5 games of 2026, TreVeyon Henderson has 49 carries for 194 rushing yards (38.8 a game) and 3 catches for 31 receiving yards (0.6 catches and 6.2 yards a game), with 1 touchdown, on 35% of snaps.

Against the rest of his career

2026 so far (5 games)2025–2025 (21 games)
Catches per game0.61.9
Receiving yards per game6.212.1
Target share3.1%7.7%

TreVeyon Henderson 2025 stats

In 2025 TreVeyon Henderson had 210 carries for 987 yards and 40 catches for 254 yards over 21 games, with 10 touchdowns, on 43% of snaps.

Season by season

TreVeyon Henderson: snap share and target share by season02040608010020252026Snap shareTarget shareSeasonshare of the team
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
TreVeyon Henderson: carries and targets per game by season0.02.55.07.510.020252026CarriesTargetsSeason
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
TreVeyon Henderson: yards per game by season020406020252026RushingReceivingSeason
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
TreVeyon Henderson: touchdowns per game by season00.20.40.60.4820250.202026
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.

2 seasons of usage, 2025–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016

If TreVeyon Henderson sits, who gets his work?The measured redistribution across the NE room — with sample size and t-statisticThe whole New England Patriots roomEvery pass-catcher ranked by the usage that predicts production

Related players

The rest of the New England Patriots running back room, by target share.

Ranked next to him at RB for week 7.

What we have measured about running backs

Does a new head coach change who gets the ball?It changes WHO, not how muchDo touchdowns repeat from year to year?Much less than receptions

Projections are as-of-week with no lookahead · usage from official play-by-play and snap counts · 2026 week 7