Corey Kiner

New England Patriots · Running backRB3

5′9″, 210 lb · age 24 · Cincinnati; LSU

Week 6 stats

Sun Oct 18, vs NYJ: Corey Kiner ran 11 times for 57 yards on 18% of snaps.

Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.

Corey Kiner has no full prior season to anchor to, so this week’s projection leans on his 5 games of current-season usage alone — treat it as a thinner read than a veteran’s.

Week 7 projection

PPR points

4.4

RB54 this week

Rush attempts

5.5

Rushing yards

Receptions

0.6

0.1 above his 2025 average

Receiving yards

Anytime TD

13%

He is used near the goal line, a role that runs slightly ahead of trailing form: +0.14 receptions.

What a realistic week looks like

The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 2 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.

Corey Kiner snap share, game by game

Snap shareTarget share

Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.

Game log

Game	Opp	Snap share	Target share	Tgt	Rec	Rec yds	Car	Rush yds	TD	We said
26 wk7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.6 projected
26 wk6	NYJ	18%	0.0%	0	0	0	11	57	0	0.7 -0.7
26 wk5	LV	20%	3.2%	1	1	7	6	52	0	0.5 +0.5
26 wk4	BUF	3%	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.6 -0.6
26 wk3	JAX	13%	3.3%	1	1	9	6	18	0	0.3 +0.7
26 wk2	PIT	7%	0.0%	0	0	0	2	0	0	—
26 wk1	SEA	11%	0.0%	0	0	0	6	11	0	—
25 wk18	LA	25%	10.7%	3	2	15	3	13	0	—
25 wk17	CIN	4%	0.0%	0	0	0	1	2	0	—
25 wk16	ATL	16%	0.0%	0	0	0	6	32	0	—
25 wk15	HOU	8%	0.0%	0	0	0	2	11	0	—

“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.

How often he has actually done it

Rates over his last 6 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.

Outcome	Games it happened	How often
3+ receptions	0 of 6	0%
5+ receptions	0 of 6	0%
7+ receptions	0 of 6	0%
50+ receiving yards	0 of 6	0%
75+ receiving yards	0 of 6	0%
100+ receiving yards	0 of 6	0%
Scored a touchdown	0 of 6	0%

Corey Kiner 2026 stats

Through 6 games of 2026, Corey Kiner has 31 carries for 138 rushing yards (23.0 a game) and 2 catches for 16 receiving yards (0.3 catches and 2.7 yards a game), on 12% of snaps.

Against the rest of his career

	2026 so far (6 games)	2025–2025 (4 games)
Catches per game	0.3	0.5
Receiving yards per game	2.7	3.8
Target share	1.1%	2.7%

Corey Kiner 2025 stats

In 2025 Corey Kiner had 12 carries for 58 yards and 2 catches for 15 yards over 4 games, on 13% of snaps.

Season by season

Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.

Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.

Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.

The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.

2 seasons of usage, 2025–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016

The whole New England Patriots roomEvery pass-catcher ranked by the usage that predicts production

Related players

The rest of the New England Patriots running back room, by target share.

Ranked next to him at RB for week 7.

Mike Washington Jr. RB51 · LV
Audric Estimé RB52 · CLE
AJ Dillon RB53 · CAR
Kaelon Black RB55 · SF
Kaleb Johnson RB56 · GB
Emmett Johnson RB57 · KC

What we have measured about running backs

Does a new head coach change who gets the ball?It changes WHO, not how much Do touchdowns repeat from year to year?Much less than receptions

Projections are as-of-week with no lookahead · usage from official play-by-play and snap counts · 2026 week 7