Sun Oct 18, vs BAL: Audric Estimé ran 9 times for 19 yards, 1 touchdown on 30% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 1 game this season Audric Estimé is averaging 9.0 carries for 19 rushing yards and 0.0 catches on 30% of snaps, against 7.7 carries for 33 rushing yards and 2.0 catches over 6 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 4.7 PPR points, RB52 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
4.7
RB52 this week
Rush attempts
9.2
Rushing yards
34
Receptions
1.0
1.0 below his 2025 average
Receiving yards
3
His snap share has fallen from last season. The projection is pulled down to reflect the smaller role rather than last year’s.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 3 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Audric Estimé snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
1.0 projected
26 wk6
BAL
30%
0.0%
0
0
0
9
19
1
—
25 wk18
ATL
84%
14.7%
5
5
43
21
63
0
—
25 wk17
TEN
76%
3.7%
1
1
4
14
94
1
—
25 wk16
NYJ
58%
8.5%
4
3
17
5
19
0
—
25 wk15
CAR
36%
9.7%
3
3
39
3
11
0
—
25 wk14
TB
17%
0.0%
0
0
0
3
11
0
—
25 wk10
CAR
4%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 6 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
3 of 6
50%
5+ receptions
1 of 6
17%
7+ receptions
0 of 6
0%
50+ receiving yards
0 of 6
0%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 6
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 6
0%
Scored a touchdown
1 of 6
17%
Audric Estimé 2026 stats
Through 1 game of 2026, Audric Estimé has 9 carries for 19 rushing yards (19.0 a game), with 1 touchdown, on 30% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (1 game)
2024–2025 (19 games)
Catches per game
0.0
0.9
Receiving yards per game
0.0
6.8
Target share
0.0%
2.8%
Audric Estimé 2025 stats
In 2025 Audric Estimé had 46 carries for 198 yards and 12 catches for 103 yards over 6 games, with 1 touchdown, on 46% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
3 seasons of usage, 2024–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016