Sun Oct 18, vs PIT: Bucky Irving ran 19 times for 46 yards, caught 2 for 3 on 85% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Bucky Irving is averaging 16.0 carries for 75 rushing yards and 2.8 catches on 65% of snaps, against 17.3 carries for 59 rushing yards and 3.0 catches over 10 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 13.5 PPR points, RB13 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
13.5
RB13 this week
Rush attempts
17.0
Rushing yards
72
Receptions
2.4
0.6 below his 2025 average
Receiving yards
19
Anytime TD
36%
He is used near the goal line, a role that runs slightly ahead of trailing form: +0.07 receptions.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 5 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Bucky Irving snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
2.4 projected
26 wk6
PIT
85%
7.3%
3
2
3
19
46
0
2.8 -0.8
26 wk5
DAL
54%
12.0%
3
2
10
21
165
2
2.9 -0.9
26 wk4
GB
59%
0.0%
0
0
0
16
61
0
3.6 -3.6
26 wk3
MIN
52%
11.4%
4
2
12
15
46
0
3.3 -1.3
26 wk2
CLE
78%
12.1%
4
4
1
17
89
0
—
26 wk1
CIN
61%
25.9%
7
7
48
8
45
1
—
25 wk18
CAR
63%
9.1%
2
1
13
26
85
0
—
25 wk17
MIA
54%
13.6%
6
5
14
9
19
0
—
25 wk16
CAR
62%
0.0%
0
0
0
19
71
0
—
25 wk15
ATL
54%
9.4%
3
1
11
16
60
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 12 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
7 of 12
58%
5+ receptions
4 of 12
33%
7+ receptions
1 of 12
8%
50+ receiving yards
2 of 12
17%
75+ receiving yards
1 of 12
8%
100+ receiving yards
1 of 12
8%
Scored a touchdown
5 of 12
42%
Bucky Irving 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Bucky Irving has 96 carries for 452 rushing yards (75.3 a game) and 17 catches for 74 receiving yards (2.8 catches and 12.3 yards a game), with 3 touchdowns, on 65% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2024–2025 (28 games)
Catches per game
2.8
2.8
Receiving yards per game
12.3
24.1
Target share
11.5%
9.8%
Bucky Irving 2025 stats
In 2025 Bucky Irving had 173 carries for 588 yards and 30 catches for 277 yards over 10 games, with 4 touchdowns, on 62% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
3 seasons of usage, 2024–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016