Sun Oct 18, vs TEN: Jonathan Taylor ran 21 times for 94 yards, caught 2 for 57, 1 touchdown on 78% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Jonathan Taylor is averaging 20.3 carries for 82 rushing yards and 2.5 catches on 82% of snaps, against 19.0 carries for 93 rushing yards and 2.7 catches over 17 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 14.6 PPR points, RB10 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
14.6
RB10 this week
Rush attempts
18.6
Rushing yards
76
Receptions
2.3
0.4 below his 2025 average
Receiving yards
21
Anytime TD
53%
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 5 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Jonathan Taylor snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
2.3 projected
26 wk6
TEN
78%
10.5%
4
2
57
21
94
1
2.5 -0.5
26 wk5
PIT
73%
9.3%
4
3
37
15
45
0
2.7 +0.3
26 wk4
WAS
71%
13.8%
4
1
2
20
95
2
3.1 -2.1
26 wk3
HOU
85%
8.6%
3
2
4
23
68
0
3.3 -1.3
26 wk2
KC
94%
13.3%
4
4
40
24
92
2
—
26 wk1
BAL
89%
13.8%
4
3
23
19
98
2
—
25 wk18
HOU
52%
6.1%
2
2
13
14
26
0
—
25 wk17
JAX
89%
20.7%
6
3
14
21
70
1
—
25 wk16
SF
88%
8.3%
3
3
33
16
46
1
—
25 wk15
SEA
85%
15.4%
4
3
14
25
87
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 19 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
13 of 19
68%
5+ receptions
1 of 19
5%
7+ receptions
0 of 19
0%
50+ receiving yards
1 of 19
5%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 19
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 19
0%
Scored a touchdown
12 of 19
63%
Jonathan Taylor 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Jonathan Taylor has 122 carries for 492 rushing yards (82.0 a game) and 15 catches for 163 receiving yards (2.5 catches and 27.2 yards a game), with 7 touchdowns, on 82% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2020–2025 (85 games)
Catches per game
2.5
2.2
Receiving yards per game
27.2
17.4
Target share
11.6%
9.1%
Jonathan Taylor 2025 stats
In 2025 Jonathan Taylor had 323 carries for 1,585 yards and 46 catches for 378 yards over 17 games, with 20 touchdowns, on 83% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
7 seasons of usage, 2020–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016