Seth McGowan

Indianapolis Colts · Running backRB2

6′1″, 223 lb · age 24 · Kentucky; New Mexico State; Butler University; Oklahoma · 2026 draft, round 7

Week 6 stats

Sun Oct 18, vs TEN: Seth McGowan ran 4 times for 27 yards on 23% of snaps.

Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.

Seth McGowan has no full prior season to anchor to, so this week’s projection leans on his 5 games of current-season usage alone — treat it as a thinner read than a veteran’s.

Week 7 projection

PPR points

3.6

RB61 this week

Rush attempts

4.9

Rushing yards

Receptions

0.6

Receiving yards

Anytime TD

What a realistic week looks like

The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 2 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.

Seth McGowan snap share, game by game

Snap shareTarget share

Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.

Game log

Game	Opp	Snap share	Target share	Tgt	Rec	Rec yds	Car	Rush yds	TD	We said
26 wk7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.6 projected
26 wk6	TEN	23%	0.0%	0	0	0	4	27	0	0.7 -0.7
26 wk5	PIT	27%	2.3%	1	1	3	5	16	0	0.7 +0.3
26 wk4	WAS	29%	6.9%	2	1	7	6	31	0	0.6 +0.4
26 wk3	HOU	15%	0.0%	0	0	0	4	14	0	0.6 -0.6
26 wk2	KC	6%	0.0%	0	0	0	2	0	0	—
26 wk1	BAL	11%	3.4%	1	1	0	0	0	0	—

“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.

Seth McGowan 2026 stats

Through 6 games of 2026, Seth McGowan has 21 carries for 88 rushing yards (14.7 a game) and 3 catches for 10 receiving yards (0.5 catches and 1.7 yards a game), on 18% of snaps.

His first season in the warehouse, so there is no prior year to compare against and no career arc to draw — the projection leans on the league's rookies rather than on him.

	2026 so far (6 games)
Catches per game	0.5
Receiving yards per game	1.7
Target share	2.1%

The whole Indianapolis Colts roomEvery pass-catcher ranked by the usage that predicts production

Related players

The rest of the Indianapolis Colts running back room, by target share.

Jonathan Taylor RB1

Ranked next to him at RB for week 7.

Jaylen Wright RB58 · MIA
Sione Vaki RB59 · DET
Tyler Badie RB60 · DEN
Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB62 · NYG
Jaleel McLaughlin RB63 · CLE
Nicholas Singleton RB64 · TEN

What we have measured about running backs

Does a new head coach change who gets the ball?It changes WHO, not how much Do touchdowns repeat from year to year?Much less than receptions

Projections are as-of-week with no lookahead · usage from official play-by-play and snap counts · 2026 week 7