Sun Oct 18, vs NO: Tyrone Tracy Jr. ran 6 times for 18 yards, caught 2 for 27, 2 touchdowns on 38% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Tyrone Tracy Jr. is averaging 2.2 carries for 7 rushing yards and 0.7 catches on 14% of snaps, against 11.7 carries for 49 rushing yards and 2.4 catches over 15 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 3.3 PPR points, RB62 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
3.3
RB62 this week
Receptions
1.4
1.0 below his 2025 average
Receiving yards
11
Anytime TD
17%
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 3 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Tyrone Tracy Jr. snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
1.4 projected
26 wk6
NO
38%
7.0%
3
2
27
6
18
2
0.8 +1.2
26 wk5
WAS
19%
5.8%
3
2
25
3
6
0
1.1 +0.9
26 wk4
ARI
18%
0.0%
0
0
0
1
-1
0
0.7 -0.7
26 wk3
TEN
2%
0.0%
0
0
0
1
3
0
1.0 -1.0
26 wk2
LA
2%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
26 wk1
DAL
3%
0.0%
0
0
0
2
14
0
—
25 wk18
DAL
69%
28.1%
9
8
56
18
103
1
—
25 wk17
LV
66%
6.9%
2
1
-5
14
62
0
—
25 wk16
MIN
62%
15.4%
2
2
7
16
71
0
—
25 wk15
WAS
76%
11.1%
4
3
27
15
70
2
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 17 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
6 of 17
35%
5+ receptions
1 of 17
6%
7+ receptions
1 of 17
6%
50+ receiving yards
3 of 17
18%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 17
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 17
0%
Scored a touchdown
3 of 17
18%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Tyrone Tracy Jr. has 4 catches for 52 receiving yards (0.7 catches and 8.7 yards a game), with 2 touchdowns, on 14% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2024–2025 (32 games)
Catches per game
0.7
2.3
Receiving yards per game
8.7
17.9
Target share
2.1%
10.0%
Tyrone Tracy Jr. 2025 stats
In 2025 Tyrone Tracy Jr. had 176 carries for 740 yards and 36 catches for 288 yards over 15 games, with 4 touchdowns, on 54% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
3 seasons of usage, 2024–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016