Thu Oct 15, vs SEA: Tyler Badie ran 1 time for 6 yards on 7% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 5 games this season Tyler Badie is averaging 1.2 receptions and 13 receiving yards on 16% of snaps, against 1.1 receptions and 8 receiving yards over 18 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 3.8 PPR points, RB60 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
3.8
RB60 this week
Receptions
1.4
0.3 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
12
Anytime TD
16%
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 3 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Tyler Badie snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
1.4 projected
26 wk6
SEA
7%
0.0%
0
0
0
1
6
0
1.3 -1.3
26 wk5
LAC
11%
4.5%
1
1
-5
1
6
0
1.3 -0.3
26 wk4
SF
18%
5.3%
2
2
32
2
7
0
1.3 +0.7
26 wk3
LA
18%
3.2%
1
1
12
1
2
0
1.6 -0.6
26 wk2
JAX
26%
10.3%
3
2
28
1
1
0
—
25 wk21
NE
28%
0.0%
0
0
0
1
4
0
—
25 wk20
BUF
19%
4.8%
2
1
7
0
0
0
—
25 wk18
LAC
15%
8.7%
2
2
28
2
-2
0
—
25 wk17
KC
11%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk16
JAX
23%
6.5%
3
1
2
0
0
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 19 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
1 of 19
5%
5+ receptions
0 of 19
0%
7+ receptions
0 of 19
0%
50+ receiving yards
0 of 19
0%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 19
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 19
0%
Scored a touchdown
0 of 19
0%
Tyler Badie 2026 stats
Through 5 games of 2026, Tyler Badie has 6 catches for 67 receiving yards (1.2 catches and 13.4 yards a game), on 16% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (5 games)
2022–2025 (23 games)
Catches per game
1.2
1.0
Receiving yards per game
13.4
7.4
Target share
4.7%
4.6%
Tyler Badie 2025 stats
In 2025 Tyler Badie had 20 catches for 148 yards over 18 games, on 18% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
4 seasons of usage, 2022–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016