5′10″, 212 lb · age 27 · Ohio State · 2020 draft, round 2
Week 6 stats
Thu Oct 15, vs SEA: J.K. Dobbins ran 17 times for 41 yards, caught 3 for 5, 1 touchdown on 52% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season J.K. Dobbins is averaging 13.5 carries for 45 rushing yards and 1.3 catches on 44% of snaps, against 15.3 carries for 77 rushing yards and 1.1 catches over 10 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 12.2 PPR points, RB19 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
12.2
RB19 this week
Rush attempts
17.8
Rushing yards
62
Receptions
1.7
0.6 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
16
Anytime TD
35%
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 4 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
J.K. Dobbins snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
1.7 projected
26 wk6
SEA
52%
12.5%
3
3
5
17
41
1
1.1 +1.9
26 wk5
LAC
52%
9.1%
2
2
6
18
68
1
1.1 +0.9
26 wk4
SF
32%
5.3%
2
2
12
11
40
0
1.0 +1.0
26 wk3
LA
49%
6.5%
2
1
4
17
49
0
0.9 +0.1
26 wk2
JAX
34%
0.0%
0
0
0
10
36
0
—
26 wk1
KC
43%
0.0%
0
0
0
8
36
0
—
25 wk10
LV
52%
3.7%
1
1
7
18
77
0
—
25 wk9
HOU
46%
2.9%
1
1
-2
15
61
0
—
25 wk8
DAL
52%
7.4%
2
2
10
15
111
0
—
25 wk7
NYG
49%
2.0%
1
1
-1
14
81
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 12 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
0 of 12
0%
5+ receptions
0 of 12
0%
7+ receptions
0 of 12
0%
50+ receiving yards
0 of 12
0%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 12
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 12
0%
Scored a touchdown
4 of 12
33%
J.K. Dobbins 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, J.K. Dobbins has 81 carries for 270 rushing yards (45.0 a game) and 8 catches for 27 receiving yards (1.3 catches and 4.5 yards a game), with 2 touchdowns, on 44% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2020–2025 (51 games)
Catches per game
1.3
1.5
Receiving yards per game
4.5
8.9
Target share
5.6%
7.0%
J.K. Dobbins 2025 stats
In 2025 J.K. Dobbins had 153 carries for 772 yards and 11 catches for 37 yards over 10 games, with 4 touchdowns, on 51% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
6 seasons of usage, 2020–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016