Sun Oct 11, at ARI: Sione Vaki ran 6 times for 11 yards on 35% of snaps.
Stats through week 5; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 5 games this season Sione Vaki is averaging 0.8 receptions and 10 receiving yards on 26% of snaps, against 0.0 receptions and 0 receiving yards over 8 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 3.8 PPR points, RB59 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
3.8
RB59 this week
Rush attempts
4.1
Rushing yards
19
Receptions
0.6
Receiving yards
6
Anytime TD
13%
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 2 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Sione Vaki snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
0.6 projected
26 wk5
ARI
35%
0.0%
0
0
0
6
11
0
0.6 -0.6
26 wk4
CAR
17%
3.9%
2
1
17
0
0
0
0.6 +0.4
26 wk3
NYJ
31%
3.2%
1
1
11
6
26
0
0.4 +0.6
26 wk2
BUF
17%
2.6%
1
1
13
1
7
0
—
26 wk1
NO
29%
2.6%
1
1
11
2
7
0
—
25 wk18
CHI
—
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk17
MIN
—
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk15
LA
—
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk14
DAL
—
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk13
GB
—
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 10 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
0 of 10
0%
5+ receptions
0 of 10
0%
7+ receptions
0 of 10
0%
50+ receiving yards
0 of 10
0%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 10
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 10
0%
Scored a touchdown
0 of 10
0%
Sione Vaki 2026 stats
Through 5 games of 2026, Sione Vaki has 15 carries for 51 rushing yards (10.2 a game) and 4 catches for 52 receiving yards (0.8 catches and 10.4 yards a game), on 26% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (5 games)
2024–2025 (20 games)
Catches per game
0.8
0.1
Receiving yards per game
10.4
1.9
Target share
2.5%
0.4%
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
3 seasons of usage, 2024–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016