Sun Oct 11, at ARI: Jahmyr Gibbs ran 25 times for 151 yards, caught 5 for 56, 2 touchdowns on 70% of snaps.
Stats through week 5; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 5 games this season Jahmyr Gibbs is averaging 21.0 carries for 101 rushing yards and 5.4 catches on 77% of snaps, against 14.3 carries for 72 rushing yards and 4.5 catches over 17 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 20.7 PPR points, RB1 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
20.7
RB1 this week
Rush attempts
16.6
Rushing yards
84
Receptions
4.3
0.2 below his 2025 average
Receiving yards
44
Anytime TD
71%
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 1 and 8 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Jahmyr Gibbs snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
4.3 projected
26 wk5
ARI
70%
20.7%
6
5
56
25
151
2
4.6 +0.4
26 wk4
CAR
87%
13.7%
7
4
31
15
46
1
4.7 -0.7
26 wk3
NYJ
69%
25.8%
8
7
65
20
99
3
4.4 +2.6
26 wk2
BUF
83%
21.1%
8
6
61
16
52
1
—
26 wk1
NO
74%
12.8%
5
5
30
29
156
2
—
25 wk18
CHI
71%
13.9%
5
3
33
19
80
1
—
25 wk17
MIN
69%
10.3%
3
2
23
17
41
0
—
25 wk16
PIT
86%
25.0%
13
10
66
7
2
1
—
25 wk15
LA
81%
18.4%
7
4
20
13
38
0
—
25 wk14
DAL
69%
22.6%
7
7
77
12
43
3
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 19 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
15 of 19
79%
5+ receptions
8 of 19
42%
7+ receptions
4 of 19
21%
50+ receiving yards
5 of 19
26%
75+ receiving yards
3 of 19
16%
100+ receiving yards
1 of 19
5%
Scored a touchdown
12 of 19
63%
Jahmyr Gibbs 2026 stats
Through 5 games of 2026, Jahmyr Gibbs has 105 carries for 504 rushing yards (100.8 a game) and 27 catches for 243 receiving yards (5.4 catches and 48.6 yards a game), with 9 touchdowns, on 77% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (5 games)
2023–2025 (53 games)
Catches per game
5.4
3.7
Receiving yards per game
48.6
30.4
Target share
18.8%
13.9%
Jahmyr Gibbs 2025 stats
In 2025 Jahmyr Gibbs had 243 carries for 1,223 yards and 77 catches for 616 yards over 17 games, with 18 touchdowns, on 67% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
4 seasons of usage, 2023–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016