Sun Oct 18, vs CHI: Bijan Robinson ran 9 times for 61 yards, caught 2 for -8 on 78% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Bijan Robinson is averaging 18.5 carries for 107 rushing yards and 3.3 catches on 70% of snaps, against 16.9 carries for 87 rushing yards and 4.6 catches over 17 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 17.8 PPR points, RB3 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
17.8
RB3 this week
Rush attempts
17.7
Rushing yards
88
Receptions
2.6
2.1 below his 2025 average
Receiving yards
25
Anytime TD
50%
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 5 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Bijan Robinson snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
2.6 projected
26 wk6
CHI
78%
6.1%
2
2
-8
9
61
0
3.5 -1.5
26 wk5
BAL
81%
20.6%
7
4
32
17
86
0
3.7 +0.3
26 wk4
NO
60%
10.0%
2
1
2
19
145
2
3.9 -2.9
26 wk3
GB
72%
8.7%
2
2
19
29
194
2
4.2 -2.2
26 wk2
CAR
51%
12.9%
4
3
9
16
72
0
—
26 wk1
PIT
77%
52.6%
10
8
90
21
83
1
—
25 wk18
NO
84%
10.0%
3
3
10
15
33
0
—
25 wk17
LA
79%
40.0%
8
5
34
22
195
2
—
25 wk16
ARI
70%
32.4%
11
7
92
16
76
1
—
25 wk15
TB
90%
26.8%
11
8
82
19
93
1
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 19 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
16 of 19
84%
5+ receptions
10 of 19
53%
7+ receptions
4 of 19
21%
50+ receiving yards
9 of 19
47%
75+ receiving yards
5 of 19
26%
100+ receiving yards
2 of 19
11%
Scored a touchdown
10 of 19
53%
Bijan Robinson 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Bijan Robinson has 111 carries for 641 rushing yards (106.8 a game) and 20 catches for 144 receiving yards (3.3 catches and 24.0 yards a game), with 5 touchdowns, on 70% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2023–2025 (51 games)
Catches per game
3.3
3.9
Receiving yards per game
24.0
34.1
Target share
18.5%
17.1%
Bijan Robinson 2025 stats
In 2025 Bijan Robinson had 287 carries for 1,478 yards and 79 catches for 820 yards over 17 games, with 11 touchdowns, on 78% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
4 seasons of usage, 2023–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016