5′9″, 211 lb · age 26 · Michigan State; Wake Forest · 2022 draft, round 2
Week 6 stats
Sun Oct 18, vs LAC: Kenneth Walker III ran 19 times for 128 yards, caught 2 for 11, 2 touchdowns on 74% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 5 games this season Kenneth Walker III is averaging 21.2 carries for 133 rushing yards and 2.8 catches on 74% of snaps, against 14.3 carries for 67 rushing yards and 2.0 catches over 20 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 16.4 PPR points, RB6 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
16.4
RB6 this week
Rush attempts
16.4
Rushing yards
92
Receptions
2.4
0.4 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
18
Anytime TD
67%
He is used near the goal line, a role that runs slightly ahead of trailing form: +0.07 receptions.
His snap share has grown from last season. The projection is lifted to reflect the larger role.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 5 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Kenneth Walker III snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
2.4 projected
26 wk6
LAC
74%
10.3%
3
2
11
19
128
2
2.6 -0.6
26 wk4
LV
75%
3.7%
1
1
2
22
177
2
2.8 -1.8
26 wk3
MIA
73%
8.7%
2
2
3
18
70
2
2.7 -0.7
26 wk2
IND
82%
23.3%
10
6
61
24
117
0
—
26 wk1
DEN
68%
24.0%
6
3
18
23
173
2
—
25 wk22
NE
65%
11.1%
4
2
26
27
135
0
—
25 wk21
LA
63%
11.8%
4
4
49
19
62
1
—
25 wk20
SF
62%
18.8%
3
3
29
19
116
3
—
25 wk18
SF
42%
15.4%
4
4
36
16
97
0
—
25 wk17
CAR
47%
7.7%
2
2
6
15
51
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 22 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
10 of 22
45%
5+ receptions
1 of 22
5%
7+ receptions
0 of 22
0%
50+ receiving yards
2 of 22
9%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 22
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 22
0%
Scored a touchdown
7 of 22
32%
Kenneth Walker III 2026 stats
Through 5 games of 2026, Kenneth Walker III has 106 carries for 665 rushing yards (133.0 a game) and 14 catches for 95 receiving yards (2.8 catches and 19.0 yards a game), with 8 touchdowns, on 74% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (5 games)
2022–2025 (62 games)
Catches per game
2.8
2.3
Receiving yards per game
19.0
17.9
Target share
14.0%
9.0%
Kenneth Walker III 2025 stats
In 2025 Kenneth Walker III had 286 carries for 1,340 yards and 40 catches for 386 yards over 20 games, with 9 touchdowns, on 49% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
5 seasons of usage, 2022–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016