Sun Oct 18, vs ARI: Kyren Williams ran 10 times for 50 yards, caught 3 for 17 on 72% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Kyren Williams is averaging 13.3 carries for 66 rushing yards and 5.0 catches on 70% of snaps, against 15.2 carries for 72 rushing yards and 2.2 catches over 20 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 17.3 PPR points, RB4 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
17.3
RB4 this week
Rush attempts
14.7
Rushing yards
60
Receptions
4.3
2.1 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
34
Anytime TD
51%
He is the third-down option, a role that runs slightly ahead of trailing form: +0.05 receptions.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 1 and 8 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Kyren Williams snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
4.3 projected
26 wk6
ARI
72%
18.8%
6
3
17
10
50
0
4.3 -1.3
26 wk5
BUF
73%
14.8%
8
6
27
16
49
1
3.4 +2.6
26 wk4
PHI
83%
26.0%
13
10
67
16
80
2
3.0 +7.0
26 wk3
DEN
71%
14.3%
7
6
70
15
88
0
2.5 +3.5
26 wk2
NYG
55%
6.7%
2
2
12
12
85
1
—
26 wk1
SF
64%
11.1%
3
3
24
11
41
1
—
25 wk21
SEA
51%
5.9%
2
2
22
10
39
1
—
25 wk20
CHI
63%
12.5%
5
4
30
21
87
2
—
25 wk19
CAR
63%
4.8%
2
2
18
13
57
1
—
25 wk18
ARI
63%
13.5%
5
3
21
12
60
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 22 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
7 of 22
32%
5+ receptions
1 of 22
5%
7+ receptions
1 of 22
5%
50+ receiving yards
1 of 22
5%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 22
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 22
0%
Scored a touchdown
15 of 22
68%
Kyren Williams 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Kyren Williams has 80 carries for 393 rushing yards (65.5 a game) and 30 catches for 217 receiving yards (5.0 catches and 36.2 yards a game), with 5 touchdowns, on 70% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2022–2025 (59 games)
Catches per game
5.0
2.1
Receiving yards per game
36.2
14.2
Target share
15.3%
8.1%
Kyren Williams 2025 stats
In 2025 Kyren Williams had 303 carries for 1,435 yards and 44 catches for 351 yards over 20 games, with 17 touchdowns, on 67% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
5 seasons of usage, 2022–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016