Mon Oct 19, vs WAS: Christian McCaffrey ran 16 times for 64 yards, caught 9 for 53, 2 touchdowns on 85% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Christian McCaffrey is averaging 12.8 carries for 58 rushing yards and 4.7 catches on 72% of snaps, against 17.7 carries for 68 rushing yards and 5.9 catches over 19 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 20.0 PPR points, RB2 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
20.0
RB2 this week
Rush attempts
16.0
Rushing yards
59
Receptions
4.5
1.5 below his 2025 average
Receiving yards
49
Anytime TD
61%
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 1 and 8 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Christian McCaffrey snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
4.5 projected
26 wk6
WAS
85%
34.5%
10
9
53
16
64
2
3.9 +5.1
26 wk5
SEA
82%
11.1%
3
3
15
11
68
1
4.4 -1.4
26 wk4
DEN
74%
17.2%
5
3
18
15
52
1
4.7 -1.7
26 wk3
ARI
83%
19.2%
5
4
41
15
75
1
5.0 -1.0
26 wk2
MIA
52%
19.0%
4
4
43
10
23
2
—
26 wk1
LA
55%
23.5%
8
5
20
10
68
0
—
25 wk20
SEA
52%
22.2%
6
5
39
11
35
0
—
25 wk19
PHI
88%
26.7%
8
6
66
15
48
2
—
25 wk18
SEA
86%
25.9%
7
6
34
8
23
0
—
25 wk17
CHI
85%
18.2%
6
4
41
23
140
1
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 21 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
20 of 21
95%
5+ receptions
16 of 21
76%
7+ receptions
7 of 21
33%
50+ receiving yards
11 of 21
52%
75+ receiving yards
3 of 21
14%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 21
0%
Scored a touchdown
14 of 21
67%
Christian McCaffrey 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Christian McCaffrey has 77 carries for 350 rushing yards (58.3 a game) and 28 catches for 190 receiving yards (4.7 catches and 31.7 yards a game), with 7 touchdowns, on 72% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2017–2025 (121 games)
Catches per game
4.7
5.6
Receiving yards per game
31.7
48.0
Target share
20.8%
21.7%
Christian McCaffrey 2025 stats
In 2025 Christian McCaffrey had 337 carries for 1,285 yards and 113 catches for 1,029 yards over 19 games, with 19 touchdowns, on 82% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
10 seasons of usage, 2017–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016