6′1″, 210 lb · age 27 · Oklahoma State · 2021 draft, round 4
Week 6 stats
Sun Oct 18, at PHI: Chuba Hubbard ran 28 times for 120 yards, caught 1 for 1, 1 touchdown on 94% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 5 games this season Chuba Hubbard is averaging 17.8 carries for 85 rushing yards and 2.2 catches on 80% of snaps, against 9.2 carries for 35 rushing yards and 2.0 catches over 16 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 17.1 PPR points, RB5 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
17.1
RB5 this week
Rush attempts
20.9
Rushing yards
96
Receptions
2.4
0.4 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
21
Anytime TD
50%
His snap share has grown from last season. The projection is lifted to reflect the larger role.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 5 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Chuba Hubbard snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
2.4 projected
26 wk6
PHI
94%
5.7%
2
1
1
28
120
1
2.6 -1.6
26 wk4
DET
84%
5.1%
2
1
7
20
122
2
2.6 -1.6
26 wk3
CLE
84%
9.5%
4
4
28
19
82
0
2.3 +1.7
26 wk2
ATL
65%
6.2%
2
2
11
12
53
1
—
26 wk1
CHI
71%
8.8%
3
3
38
10
49
2
—
25 wk19
LA
61%
10.8%
4
2
13
13
46
2
—
25 wk18
TB
45%
6.7%
2
2
7
5
10
0
—
25 wk17
SEA
38%
14.3%
3
3
6
4
12
0
—
25 wk16
TB
41%
3.2%
1
1
7
6
27
0
—
25 wk15
NO
42%
5.0%
1
1
9
8
29
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 18 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
6 of 18
33%
5+ receptions
1 of 18
6%
7+ receptions
0 of 18
0%
50+ receiving yards
0 of 18
0%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 18
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 18
0%
Scored a touchdown
7 of 18
39%
Chuba Hubbard 2026 stats
Through 5 games of 2026, Chuba Hubbard has 89 carries for 426 rushing yards (85.2 a game) and 11 catches for 85 receiving yards (2.2 catches and 17.0 yards a game), with 6 touchdowns, on 80% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (5 games)
2021–2025 (80 games)
Catches per game
2.2
1.9
Receiving yards per game
17.0
12.3
Target share
7.1%
8.2%
Chuba Hubbard 2025 stats
In 2025 Chuba Hubbard had 147 carries for 557 yards and 32 catches for 236 yards over 16 games, with 6 touchdowns, on 47% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
6 seasons of usage, 2021–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016