Sun Oct 18, vs CHI: Brian Robinson ran 2 times for 1 yards, caught 2 for 9 on 18% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Brian Robinson is averaging 8.8 carries for 35 rushing yards and 0.8 catches on 30% of snaps, against 5.0 carries for 21 rushing yards and 0.5 catches over 19 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 7.2 PPR points, RB40 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
7.2
RB40 this week
Rush attempts
7.6
Rushing yards
37
Receptions
0.8
0.3 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
7
Anytime TD
27%
He is used near the goal line, a role that runs slightly ahead of trailing form: +0.11 receptions.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 2 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Brian Robinson snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
0.8 projected
26 wk6
CHI
18%
6.1%
2
2
9
2
1
0
0.8 +1.2
26 wk5
BAL
22%
2.9%
1
0
0
7
16
0
1.0 -1.0
26 wk4
NO
42%
5.0%
1
1
5
14
62
3
1.0 -0.0
26 wk3
GB
27%
0.0%
0
0
0
10
50
1
0.8 -0.8
26 wk2
CAR
48%
6.5%
2
2
16
11
51
0
—
26 wk1
PIT
25%
0.0%
0
0
0
9
31
0
—
25 wk20
SEA
25%
3.7%
1
1
3
3
4
0
—
25 wk19
PHI
12%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk18
SEA
14%
0.0%
0
0
0
2
9
0
—
25 wk17
CHI
15%
3.0%
1
1
6
4
22
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 21 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
1 of 21
5%
5+ receptions
0 of 21
0%
7+ receptions
0 of 21
0%
50+ receiving yards
0 of 21
0%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 21
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 21
0%
Scored a touchdown
2 of 21
10%
Brian Robinson 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Brian Robinson has 53 carries for 211 rushing yards (35.2 a game) and 5 catches for 30 receiving yards (0.8 catches and 5.0 yards a game), with 4 touchdowns, on 30% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2022–2025 (63 games)
Catches per game
0.8
1.2
Receiving yards per game
5.0
10.1
Target share
3.4%
4.8%
Brian Robinson 2025 stats
In 2025 Brian Robinson had 95 carries for 404 yards and 9 catches for 28 yards over 19 games, with 2 touchdowns, on 17% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
5 seasons of usage, 2022–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016