Sun Oct 11, vs CIN: Jaylen Wright ran 6 times for 11 yards on 14% of snaps.
Stats through week 5; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 4 games this season Jaylen Wright is averaging 3.5 carries for 7 rushing yards and 0.0 catches on 14% of snaps, against 7.0 carries for 29 rushing yards and 0.5 catches over 10 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 4.0 PPR points, RB58 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
4.0
RB58 this week
Rush attempts
8.2
Rushing yards
27
Receptions
0.6
0.1 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
4
Anytime TD
6%
His snap share is down, but he is on the injury report, so the drop is not read as a smaller role.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 2 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Jaylen Wright snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
0.6 projected
26 wk5
CIN
14%
0.0%
0
0
0
6
11
0
0.4 -0.4
26 wk4
MIN
31%
0.0%
0
0
0
5
7
0
0.2 -0.2
26 wk2
SF
5%
0.0%
0
0
0
2
11
0
—
26 wk1
LV
7%
0.0%
0
0
0
1
-1
0
—
25 wk18
NE
46%
8.3%
2
2
17
13
23
0
—
25 wk17
TB
15%
0.0%
0
0
0
5
56
0
—
25 wk16
CIN
31%
6.9%
2
1
18
9
35
1
—
25 wk15
PIT
8%
3.8%
1
1
9
1
2
0
—
25 wk14
NYJ
52%
14.3%
3
0
0
24
107
1
—
25 wk13
NO
10%
0.0%
0
0
0
3
16
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 12 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
0 of 12
0%
5+ receptions
0 of 12
0%
7+ receptions
0 of 12
0%
50+ receiving yards
0 of 12
0%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 12
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 12
0%
Scored a touchdown
2 of 12
17%
Jaylen Wright 2026 stats
Through 4 games of 2026, Jaylen Wright has 14 carries for 28 rushing yards (7.0 a game), on 14% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (4 games)
2024–2025 (25 games)
Catches per game
0.0
0.3
Receiving yards per game
0.0
2.1
Target share
0.0%
2.2%
Jaylen Wright 2025 stats
In 2025 Jaylen Wright had 70 carries for 288 yards and 5 catches for 44 yards over 10 games, with 2 touchdowns, on 22% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
3 seasons of usage, 2024–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016