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If Tyler Allgeier is out, who gets his targets?
The Arizona Cardinals room absorbs +0.42 receptions, and Jeremiyah Love takes the largest single share at +0.21. The work stays overwhelmingly inside the running back room.
Where the work goes
Change in projected receptions for every other player in the offense. The bars are small on purpose — a vacated role is shared out, and any tool showing one replacement absorbing a whole target load is telling you something the data does not support.
Every player in the room
| Player | Now | If out | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trey McBride TE · 84% snaps | 7.10 | 7.10 | +0.00 |
| Michael Wilson WR · 90% snaps | 4.30 | 4.30 | +0.00 |
| Kendrick Bourne WR · 64% snaps | 2.90 | 2.90 | +0.00 |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. WR · 76% snaps | 2.20 | 2.20 | +0.00 |
| Jeremiyah Love RB · 42% snaps | 2.20 | 2.41 | +0.21 |
| Tyler Allgeier RB · 62% snaps | 2.00 | — | OUT |
| Elijah Higgins TE · 26% snaps | 0.80 | 0.80 | +0.00 |
| Bam Knight RB · 5% snaps | 0.60 | 0.81 | +0.21 |
| Hunter Long TE · 32% snaps | 0.60 | 0.60 | +0.00 |
What the data says happens
Measured across every regular-season game from 2018 onward, each beneficiary compared against his own trailing four-game form and net of what the same players do in weeks the room’s number one actually plays.
| Room | Receptions gained | n | t |
|---|---|---|---|
| Receivers | +0.112 | 2,094 | 2.36 |
| Tight ends | +0.103 | 1,258 | 2.16 |
| Backs | +0.610 | 1,042 | 11.17 |
The room total is predictable. Which player takes it is not. Every candidate predictor of who gains — pecking order, snap share, route depth, trailing targets — correlates at roughly r = 0.02. In any single week one player usually takes about 60% of what was vacated; it is simply not predictably the same one.
Tyler Allgeier’s full stats and usageSnap share, target share, game log and this week’s projection