5′10″, 226 lb · age 27 · Fort Valley State College
Week 6 stats
Thu Oct 15, at DEN: Emanuel Wilson ran 14 times for 52 yards on 32% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Emanuel Wilson is averaging 14.5 carries for 50 rushing yards and 0.8 catches on 39% of snaps, against 7.0 carries for 28 rushing yards and 0.8 catches over 18 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 11.4 PPR points, RB24 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
11.4
RB24 this week
Rush attempts
15.7
Rushing yards
63
Receptions
1.2
0.4 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
15
Anytime TD
38%
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 3 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Emanuel Wilson snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
1.2 projected
26 wk6
DEN
32%
2.2%
1
0
0
14
52
0
1.1 -1.1
26 wk5
SF
59%
7.4%
2
2
11
20
61
1
1.1 +0.9
26 wk4
LAC
60%
20.0%
4
3
39
21
81
2
1.0 +2.0
26 wk3
WAS
36%
0.0%
0
0
0
9
14
0
0.5 -0.5
26 wk2
ARI
41%
3.8%
1
0
0
21
92
0
—
26 wk1
NE
6%
0.0%
0
0
0
2
3
0
—
25 wk19
CHI
18%
0.0%
0
0
0
1
3
0
—
25 wk18
MIN
55%
10.0%
1
1
4
18
44
0
—
25 wk17
BAL
36%
4.0%
1
1
8
3
16
0
—
25 wk16
CHI
46%
0.0%
0
0
0
14
82
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 20 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
2 of 20
10%
5+ receptions
0 of 20
0%
7+ receptions
0 of 20
0%
50+ receiving yards
0 of 20
0%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 20
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 20
0%
Scored a touchdown
2 of 20
10%
Emanuel Wilson 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Emanuel Wilson has 87 carries for 303 rushing yards (50.5 a game) and 5 catches for 50 receiving yards (0.8 catches and 8.3 yards a game), with 3 touchdowns, on 39% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2023–2025 (45 games)
Catches per game
0.8
0.7
Receiving yards per game
8.3
4.5
Target share
5.6%
3.1%
Emanuel Wilson 2025 stats
In 2025 Emanuel Wilson had 126 carries for 499 yards and 15 catches for 99 yards over 18 games, with 3 touchdowns, on 30% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
4 seasons of usage, 2023–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016