6′1″, 220 lb · age 24 · South Dakota State · 2024 draft, round 5
Week 6 stats
Sun Oct 18, at NE: Isaiah Davis ran 7 times for 16 yards, caught 1 for 10 on 13% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 5 games this season Isaiah Davis is averaging 0.4 receptions and 4 receiving yards on 11% of snaps, against 1.3 receptions and 12 receiving yards over 16 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 1.6 PPR points, RB70 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
1.6
RB70 this week
Receptions
0.5
0.8 below his 2025 average
Receiving yards
3
Anytime TD
12%
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 2 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Isaiah Davis snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
0.5 projected
26 wk6
NE
13%
3.4%
1
1
10
7
16
0
0.8 +0.2
26 wk5
CLE
14%
6.9%
2
1
9
2
8
0
0.9 +0.1
26 wk4
CHI
6%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
1.5 -1.5
26 wk3
DET
—
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
1.0 -1.0
26 wk2
GB
—
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk17
NE
13%
3.1%
1
1
9
3
11
0
—
25 wk16
NO
36%
11.8%
4
4
52
3
8
0
—
25 wk15
JAX
38%
3.1%
1
1
7
9
58
1
—
25 wk14
MIA
24%
0.0%
0
0
0
2
22
0
—
25 wk13
ATL
12%
3.2%
1
0
0
0
0
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 17 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
3 of 17
18%
5+ receptions
1 of 17
6%
7+ receptions
0 of 17
0%
50+ receiving yards
1 of 17
6%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 17
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 17
0%
Scored a touchdown
1 of 17
6%
Isaiah Davis 2026 stats
Through 5 games of 2026, Isaiah Davis has 2 catches for 19 receiving yards (0.4 catches and 3.8 yards a game), on 11% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (5 games)
2024–2025 (29 games)
Catches per game
0.4
1.0
Receiving yards per game
3.8
9.0
Target share
2.1%
4.6%
Isaiah Davis 2025 stats
In 2025 Isaiah Davis had 21 catches for 186 yards over 16 games, with 1 touchdown, on 28% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
3 seasons of usage, 2024–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016