6′4″, 251 lb · age 26 · Ohio State · 2024 draft, round 4
Week 6 stats
Sun Oct 18, at JAX: Cade Stover played 21% of snaps without a touch.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Cade Stover is averaging 0.3 receptions and 3 receiving yards on 25% of snaps, against 1.4 receptions and 8 receiving yards over 11 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 1.4 PPR points, TE74 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
1.4
TE74 this week
Receptions
0.3
1.1 below his 2025 average
Receiving yards
3
Anytime TD
12%
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 1 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Cade Stover snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
0.3 projected
26 wk6
JAX
21%
0.0%
0
0
0
2
5
0
0.5 -0.5
26 wk5
TEN
20%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.7 -0.7
26 wk4
DAL
24%
3.8%
1
1
20
0
0
0
0.5 +0.5
26 wk3
IND
44%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.7 -0.7
26 wk2
CIN
10%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
26 wk1
BUF
30%
2.7%
1
1
-2
0
0
0
—
25 wk20
NE
67%
6.7%
3
1
2
2
6
0
—
25 wk19
PIT
53%
6.2%
2
2
13
1
4
0
—
25 wk18
IND
49%
7.1%
2
1
9
0
0
0
—
25 wk17
LAC
54%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 13 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
2 of 13
15%
5+ receptions
0 of 13
0%
7+ receptions
0 of 13
0%
50+ receiving yards
0 of 13
0%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 13
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 13
0%
Scored a touchdown
0 of 13
0%
Cade Stover 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Cade Stover has 2 catches for 18 receiving yards (0.3 catches and 3.0 yards a game), on 25% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2024–2025 (27 games)
Catches per game
0.3
1.3
Receiving yards per game
3.0
9.3
Target share
1.1%
5.6%
Cade Stover 2025 stats
In 2025 Cade Stover had 15 catches for 91 yards over 11 games, on 47% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
3 seasons of usage, 2024–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016