Sun Oct 18, at JAX: Dalton Schultz caught 4 of 6 targets for 33 yards on 40% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Dalton Schultz is averaging 4.7 receptions and 46 receiving yards on 57% of snaps, against 4.6 receptions and 44 receiving yards over 19 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 10.2 PPR points, TE10 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
10.2
TE10 this week
Receptions
4.4
0.1 below his 2025 average
Receiving yards
41
Anytime TD
27%
He is the third-down option, a role that runs slightly ahead of trailing form: +0.05 receptions.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 1 and 8 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Dalton Schultz snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
4.4 projected
26 wk6
JAX
40%
18.8%
6
4
33
0
4.5 -0.5
26 wk5
TEN
52%
12.1%
4
3
30
0
4.7 -1.7
26 wk4
DAL
64%
7.7%
2
2
9
0
4.7 -2.7
26 wk3
IND
54%
12.0%
3
3
30
0
5.2 -2.2
26 wk2
CIN
68%
28.0%
14
12
140
0
—
26 wk1
BUF
66%
21.6%
8
4
35
0
—
25 wk20
NE
16%
4.4%
2
2
47
0
—
25 wk19
PIT
79%
12.5%
4
3
12
0
—
25 wk18
IND
56%
14.3%
4
4
73
0
—
25 wk17
LAC
78%
15.4%
4
3
19
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 21 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
18 of 21
86%
5+ receptions
11 of 21
52%
7+ receptions
5 of 21
24%
50+ receiving yards
9 of 21
43%
75+ receiving yards
4 of 21
19%
100+ receiving yards
1 of 21
5%
Scored a touchdown
3 of 21
14%
Dalton Schultz 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Dalton Schultz has 28 catches for 277 receiving yards (4.7 catches and 46.2 yards a game), on 57% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2018–2025 (135 games)
Catches per game
4.7
3.3
Receiving yards per game
46.2
33.5
Target share
16.7%
13.7%
Dalton Schultz 2025 stats
In 2025 Dalton Schultz had 87 catches for 836 yards over 19 games, with 3 touchdowns, on 69% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
9 seasons of usage, 2018–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016