6′5″, 259 lb · age 25 · South Dakota State · 2023 draft, round 3
Week 6 stats
Sun Oct 18, vs DAL: Tucker Kraft caught 5 of 8 targets for 37 yards on 77% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Tucker Kraft is averaging 4.2 receptions and 42 receiving yards on 81% of snaps, against 4.0 receptions and 61 receiving yards over 8 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 10.4 PPR points, TE8 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
10.4
TE8 this week
Receptions
3.9
0.1 below his 2025 average
Receiving yards
50
Anytime TD
32%
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 1 and 7 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Tucker Kraft snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
3.9 projected
26 wk6
DAL
77%
20.0%
8
5
37
0
0
0
3.9 +1.1
26 wk5
CHI
77%
16.1%
5
5
64
1
2
0
3.9 +1.1
26 wk4
TB
92%
23.3%
7
6
42
1
3
1
3.7 +2.3
26 wk3
ATL
76%
15.7%
8
4
26
0
0
0
3.7 +0.3
26 wk2
NYJ
98%
10.3%
3
2
15
0
0
0
—
26 wk1
MIN
66%
15.0%
6
3
65
0
0
0
—
25 wk9
CAR
49%
8.6%
3
2
20
0
0
0
—
25 wk8
PIT
92%
25.7%
9
7
143
0
0
2
—
25 wk7
ARI
89%
35.7%
10
5
58
0
0
1
—
25 wk6
CIN
92%
7.7%
2
2
43
0
0
1
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 10 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
6 of 10
60%
5+ receptions
4 of 10
40%
7+ receptions
1 of 10
10%
50+ receiving yards
5 of 10
50%
75+ receiving yards
2 of 10
20%
100+ receiving yards
2 of 10
20%
Scored a touchdown
5 of 10
50%
Tucker Kraft 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Tucker Kraft has 25 catches for 249 receiving yards (4.2 catches and 41.5 yards a game), with 1 touchdown, on 81% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2023–2025 (45 games)
Catches per game
4.2
2.7
Receiving yards per game
41.5
35.6
Target share
16.7%
12.8%
Tucker Kraft 2025 stats
In 2025 Tucker Kraft had 32 catches for 489 yards over 8 games, with 6 touchdowns, on 86% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
4 seasons of usage, 2023–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016