Sun Oct 18, at ATL: Colston Loveland caught 6 of 7 targets for 65 yards, 1 touchdown on 88% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Colston Loveland is averaging 3.2 receptions and 29 receiving yards on 85% of snaps, against 3.9 receptions and 50 receiving yards over 18 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 10.2 PPR points, TE9 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
10.2
TE9 this week
Receptions
4.0
0.1 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
48
Anytime TD
29%
He is used near the goal line, a role that runs slightly ahead of trailing form: +0.07 receptions.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 1 and 7 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Colston Loveland snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
4.0 projected
26 wk6
ATL
88%
21.2%
7
6
65
1
3.1 +2.9
26 wk5
GB
80%
12.5%
5
2
19
0
3.7 -1.7
26 wk4
NYJ
92%
29.0%
9
6
57
0
3.3 +2.7
26 wk3
PHI
79%
11.8%
4
4
31
0
2.7 +1.3
26 wk2
MIN
86%
10.0%
3
1
3
0
—
26 wk1
CAR
87%
7.7%
2
0
0
0
—
25 wk20
LA
65%
23.8%
10
4
56
0
—
25 wk19
GB
81%
32.6%
15
8
137
0
—
25 wk18
DET
91%
44.8%
13
10
91
1
—
25 wk17
SF
82%
25.6%
10
6
94
1
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 20 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
14 of 20
70%
5+ receptions
4 of 20
20%
7+ receptions
2 of 20
10%
50+ receiving yards
7 of 20
35%
75+ receiving yards
4 of 20
20%
100+ receiving yards
2 of 20
10%
Scored a touchdown
5 of 20
25%
Colston Loveland 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Colston Loveland has 19 catches for 175 receiving yards (3.2 catches and 29.2 yards a game), with 1 touchdown, on 85% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2025–2025 (18 games)
Catches per game
3.2
3.9
Receiving yards per game
29.2
50.3
Target share
15.4%
17.9%
Colston Loveland 2025 stats
In 2025 Colston Loveland had 70 catches for 906 yards over 18 games, with 6 touchdowns, on 65% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
2 seasons of usage, 2025–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016