Sun Oct 18, at NYG: Juwan Johnson was targeted 2 times without a catch on 58% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Juwan Johnson is averaging 4.2 receptions and 41 receiving yards on 66% of snaps, against 4.5 receptions and 52 receiving yards over 17 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 10.0 PPR points, TE11 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
10.0
TE11 this week
Receptions
4.0
0.6 below his 2025 average
Receiving yards
39
Anytime TD
28%
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 1 and 7 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Juwan Johnson snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
4.0 projected
26 wk6
NYG
58%
6.7%
2
0
0
0
4.5 -4.5
26 wk5
MIN
64%
20.8%
5
4
16
0
4.5 -0.5
26 wk4
ATL
78%
17.0%
8
6
59
0
4.6 +1.4
26 wk3
LV
62%
20.0%
8
8
53
2
3.8 +4.2
26 wk2
BAL
53%
12.5%
4
4
66
0
—
26 wk1
DET
84%
13.5%
7
3
54
1
—
25 wk18
ATL
75%
14.7%
5
3
61
0
—
25 wk17
TEN
72%
14.8%
4
4
95
0
—
25 wk16
NYJ
65%
19.1%
9
8
89
0
—
25 wk15
CAR
61%
12.9%
4
4
30
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 19 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
17 of 19
89%
5+ receptions
8 of 19
42%
7+ receptions
2 of 19
11%
50+ receiving yards
10 of 19
53%
75+ receiving yards
5 of 19
26%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 19
0%
Scored a touchdown
4 of 19
21%
Juwan Johnson 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Juwan Johnson has 25 catches for 248 receiving yards (4.2 catches and 41.3 yards a game), with 3 touchdowns, on 67% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2020–2025 (84 games)
Catches per game
4.2
2.7
Receiving yards per game
41.3
29.9
Target share
15.1%
12.4%
Juwan Johnson 2025 stats
In 2025 Juwan Johnson had 77 catches for 889 yards over 17 games, with 3 touchdowns, on 75% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
7 seasons of usage, 2020–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016