Sun Oct 18, at CLE: Mark Andrews caught 1 of 3 targets for 4 yards on 72% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Mark Andrews is averaging 3.8 receptions and 30 receiving yards on 66% of snaps, against 2.8 receptions and 25 receiving yards over 17 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 9.2 PPR points, TE13 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
9.2
TE13 this week
Receptions
3.6
0.8 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
38
Anytime TD
29%
He is used both near the goal line and on third down, roles that run slightly ahead of trailing form: +0.11 receptions.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 1 and 7 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Mark Andrews snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
3.6 projected
26 wk6
CLE
72%
9.7%
3
1
4
0
0
0
3.9 -2.9
26 wk5
ATL
72%
19.4%
6
4
28
0
0
0
3.6 +0.4
26 wk4
TEN
58%
20.7%
6
5
27
0
0
1
3.4 +1.6
26 wk3
DAL
52%
25.0%
5
3
24
0
0
0
3.5 -0.5
26 wk2
NO
71%
24.1%
7
6
49
0
0
0
—
26 wk1
IND
72%
25.0%
6
4
49
0
0
0
—
25 wk18
PIT
59%
17.6%
3
2
14
0
0
0
—
25 wk17
GB
41%
20.0%
4
4
28
0
0
0
—
25 wk16
NE
44%
15.0%
3
2
21
1
3
0
—
25 wk15
CIN
41%
25.0%
3
2
18
0
0
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 19 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
10 of 19
53%
5+ receptions
3 of 19
16%
7+ receptions
1 of 19
5%
50+ receiving yards
1 of 19
5%
75+ receiving yards
1 of 19
5%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 19
0%
Scored a touchdown
4 of 19
21%
Mark Andrews 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Mark Andrews has 23 catches for 181 receiving yards (3.8 catches and 30.2 yards a game), with 1 touchdown, on 66% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2018–2025 (129 games)
Catches per game
3.8
4.0
Receiving yards per game
30.2
48.6
Target share
20.6%
20.8%
Mark Andrews 2025 stats
In 2025 Mark Andrews had 48 catches for 422 yards over 17 games, with 6 touchdowns, on 62% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
9 seasons of usage, 2018–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016