Sun Oct 18, at JAX: Foster Moreau caught 2 of 2 targets for 7 yards, 2 touchdowns on 62% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Foster Moreau is averaging 1.8 receptions and 12 receiving yards on 44% of snaps, against 0.6 receptions and 5 receiving yards over 11 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 5.1 PPR points, TE34 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
5.1
TE34 this week
Receptions
1.7
1.1 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
15
Anytime TD
32%
He is used near the goal line, a role that runs slightly ahead of trailing form: +0.07 receptions.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 4 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Foster Moreau snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
1.7 projected
26 wk6
JAX
62%
6.2%
2
2
7
2
1.7 +0.3
26 wk5
TEN
39%
9.1%
3
2
8
0
1.5 +0.5
26 wk4
DAL
36%
3.8%
1
1
1
0
1.5 -0.5
26 wk3
IND
57%
16.0%
4
2
7
1
1.6 +0.4
26 wk2
CIN
29%
4.0%
2
2
34
0
—
26 wk1
BUF
44%
5.4%
2
2
15
0
—
25 wk16
NYJ
28%
2.1%
1
1
5
0
—
25 wk15
CAR
42%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk14
TB
45%
5.0%
1
1
16
0
—
25 wk13
MIA
38%
5.9%
2
2
13
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 13 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
0 of 13
0%
5+ receptions
0 of 13
0%
7+ receptions
0 of 13
0%
50+ receiving yards
0 of 13
0%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 13
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 13
0%
Scored a touchdown
0 of 13
0%
Foster Moreau 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Foster Moreau has 11 catches for 72 receiving yards (1.8 catches and 12.0 yards a game), with 3 touchdowns, on 44% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2019–2025 (105 games)
Catches per game
1.8
1.4
Receiving yards per game
12.0
16.9
Target share
7.4%
6.3%
Foster Moreau 2025 stats
In 2025 Foster Moreau had 7 catches for 59 yards over 11 games, on 36% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
8 seasons of usage, 2019–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016