Thu Oct 15, vs SEA: Evan Engram caught 2 of 2 targets for 13 yards on 52% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Evan Engram is averaging 2.0 receptions and 22 receiving yards on 57% of snaps, against 2.9 receptions and 27 receiving yards over 18 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 5.1 PPR points, TE33 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
5.1
TE33 this week
Receptions
1.7
1.2 below his 2025 average
Receiving yards
22
Anytime TD
15%
He is the third-down option, a role that runs slightly ahead of trailing form: +0.05 receptions.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 4 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Evan Engram snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
1.7 projected
26 wk6
SEA
52%
8.3%
2
2
13
0
2.2 -0.2
26 wk5
LAC
48%
18.2%
4
4
55
0
2.7 +1.3
26 wk4
SF
67%
13.2%
5
1
6
0
2.1 -1.1
26 wk3
LA
60%
6.5%
2
0
0
0
2.6 -2.6
26 wk2
JAX
52%
3.4%
1
1
17
0
—
26 wk1
KC
63%
18.5%
5
4
43
1
—
25 wk21
NE
33%
11.1%
3
2
19
0
—
25 wk20
BUF
47%
7.1%
3
1
7
0
—
25 wk18
LAC
39%
17.4%
4
3
45
0
—
25 wk17
KC
31%
10.8%
4
4
21
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 20 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
11 of 20
55%
5+ receptions
3 of 20
15%
7+ receptions
0 of 20
0%
50+ receiving yards
1 of 20
5%
75+ receiving yards
1 of 20
5%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 20
0%
Scored a touchdown
2 of 20
10%
Evan Engram 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Evan Engram has 12 catches for 134 receiving yards (2.0 catches and 22.3 yards a game), with 1 touchdown, on 57% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2017–2025 (128 games)
Catches per game
2.0
4.4
Receiving yards per game
22.3
43.2
Target share
11.3%
19.0%
Evan Engram 2025 stats
In 2025 Evan Engram had 53 catches for 487 yards over 18 games, with 1 touchdown, on 42% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
10 seasons of usage, 2017–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016