Sun Oct 18, at NE: Mason Taylor caught 4 of 6 targets for 33 yards on 55% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 4 games this season Mason Taylor is averaging 2.2 receptions and 14 receiving yards on 57% of snaps, against 3.4 receptions and 28 receiving yards over 13 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 5.5 PPR points, TE32 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
5.5
TE32 this week
Receptions
2.6
0.8 below his 2025 average
Receiving yards
25
Anytime TD
12%
His snap share is down, but he is on the injury report, so the drop is not read as a smaller role.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 5 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Mason Taylor snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
2.6 projected
26 wk6
NE
55%
20.7%
6
4
33
0
2.2 +1.8
26 wk5
CLE
59%
10.3%
3
3
24
0
2.1 +0.9
26 wk2
GB
46%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
26 wk1
TEN
66%
13.0%
3
2
-2
0
—
25 wk14
MIA
66%
25.0%
8
5
51
0
—
25 wk13
ATL
83%
12.9%
4
2
21
0
—
25 wk12
BAL
88%
18.5%
5
3
21
0
—
25 wk11
NE
75%
15.4%
4
4
30
0
—
25 wk10
CLE
78%
18.2%
2
1
4
0
—
25 wk8
CIN
76%
26.7%
8
5
34
1
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 15 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
8 of 15
53%
5+ receptions
4 of 15
27%
7+ receptions
1 of 15
7%
50+ receiving yards
3 of 15
20%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 15
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 15
0%
Scored a touchdown
1 of 15
7%
Mason Taylor 2026 stats
Through 4 games of 2026, Mason Taylor has 9 catches for 55 receiving yards (2.2 catches and 13.8 yards a game), on 57% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (4 games)
2025–2025 (13 games)
Catches per game
2.2
3.4
Receiving yards per game
13.8
28.4
Target share
11.0%
17.2%
Mason Taylor 2025 stats
In 2025 Mason Taylor had 44 catches for 369 yards over 13 games, with 1 touchdown, on 81% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
2 seasons of usage, 2025–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016