Sun Oct 18, at PHI: Tommy Tremble caught 4 of 4 targets for 46 yards, 2 touchdowns on 68% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 5 games this season Tommy Tremble is averaging 3.0 receptions and 26 receiving yards on 56% of snaps, against 1.7 receptions and 15 receiving yards over 18 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 6.0 PPR points, TE29 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
6.0
TE29 this week
Receptions
2.6
0.9 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
24
Anytime TD
25%
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 5 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Tommy Tremble snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
2.6 projected
26 wk6
PHI
68%
11.4%
4
4
46
2
2.1 +1.9
26 wk4
DET
51%
10.3%
4
4
12
0
2.2 +1.8
26 wk3
CLE
48%
9.5%
4
3
41
0
2.1 +0.9
26 wk2
ATL
56%
6.2%
2
1
4
0
—
26 wk1
CHI
56%
14.7%
5
3
25
0
—
25 wk19
LA
81%
8.1%
3
3
22
0
—
25 wk18
TB
90%
13.3%
4
3
38
1
—
25 wk17
SEA
77%
4.8%
1
1
6
0
—
25 wk16
TB
43%
3.2%
1
1
6
0
—
25 wk15
NO
49%
20.0%
4
2
13
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 20 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
6 of 20
30%
5+ receptions
1 of 20
5%
7+ receptions
0 of 20
0%
50+ receiving yards
1 of 20
5%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 20
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 20
0%
Scored a touchdown
2 of 20
10%
Tommy Tremble 2026 stats
Through 5 games of 2026, Tommy Tremble has 15 catches for 128 receiving yards (3.0 catches and 25.6 yards a game), with 2 touchdowns, on 56% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (5 games)
2021–2025 (79 games)
Catches per game
3.0
1.5
Receiving yards per game
25.6
13.3
Target share
10.4%
7.4%
Tommy Tremble 2025 stats
In 2025 Tommy Tremble had 30 catches for 271 yards over 18 games, with 2 touchdowns, on 61% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
6 seasons of usage, 2021–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016