Sun Oct 11, vs CIN: Greg Dulcich caught 4 of 5 targets for 37 yards on 74% of snaps.
Stats through week 5; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 5 games this season Greg Dulcich is averaging 2.6 receptions and 25 receiving yards on 67% of snaps, against 2.6 receptions and 34 receiving yards over 10 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 6.2 PPR points, TE28 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
6.2
TE28 this week
Receptions
2.9
0.3 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
26
Anytime TD
14%
He is used near the goal line, a role that runs slightly ahead of trailing form: +0.07 receptions.
His snap share has grown from last season. The projection is lifted to reflect the larger role.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 1 and 6 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Greg Dulcich snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
2.9 projected
26 wk5
CIN
74%
19.2%
5
4
37
0
0
0
2.5 +1.5
26 wk4
MIN
51%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
3.1 -3.1
26 wk3
KC
70%
20.0%
7
5
55
0
0
0
2.7 +2.3
26 wk2
SF
61%
13.0%
3
2
17
0
0
0
—
26 wk1
LV
77%
7.4%
2
2
18
0
0
0
—
25 wk18
NE
52%
16.7%
4
3
31
0
0
0
—
25 wk17
TB
36%
27.3%
6
5
58
1
-7
1
—
25 wk16
CIN
29%
10.3%
3
3
46
0
0
0
—
25 wk15
PIT
38%
7.7%
2
2
46
0
0
0
—
25 wk14
NYJ
54%
14.3%
3
3
41
0
0
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 12 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
5 of 12
42%
5+ receptions
2 of 12
17%
7+ receptions
0 of 12
0%
50+ receiving yards
1 of 12
8%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 12
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 12
0%
Scored a touchdown
1 of 12
8%
Greg Dulcich 2026 stats
Through 5 games of 2026, Greg Dulcich has 13 catches for 127 receiving yards (2.6 catches and 25.4 yards a game), on 67% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (5 games)
2022–2025 (31 games)
Catches per game
2.6
2.2
Receiving yards per game
25.4
25.8
Target share
11.9%
11.8%
Greg Dulcich 2025 stats
In 2025 Greg Dulcich had 26 catches for 335 yards over 10 games, with 1 touchdown, on 42% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
5 seasons of usage, 2022–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016